Tigres UANL Women - Monterrey Women prediction 26 October 2026

The Tigres UANL Women vs Monterrey Women prediction for October 26, 2026, is a top-of-the-table clash in Liga MX Women where the league-leading Monterrey Women travel to face Tigres UANL Women. Based on the stats, Monterrey Women has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Tigres UANL Women has a 35% chance. This match kicks off at 00:00 and promises to be a tight contest between two of Mexico's best women's football teams.

Team Form

Tigres UANL Women come into this match with a strong recent record: W, W, D, W, L in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a solid 2-0 home win against Queretaro Women on October 19. Before that, they thrashed Toluca Women 7-2 away and beat Unam Pumas Women 3-1. A 5-2 loss at Club America Women on September 14 is the only blemish in an otherwise dominant run.

Monterrey Women are in even better form, with a perfect W, W, W, W, W streak in their last five matches. They secured a 1-0 home win over Cruz Azul Women on October 18, edged Club America Women 4-3 at home, and have been scoring freely, including a 10-0 demolition of Club Necaxa Women on September 19. Their away form is flawless, with five wins from five on the road this season.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last seven meetings, Tigres UANL Women have dominated with 4 wins, while Monterrey Women have won just 1, and 2 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on April 25, 2026, saw Tigres UANL Women win 3-0 away at Monterrey Women. Earlier in September 2025, Tigres UANL Women won 4-0 at home. Monterrey Women's sole victory in this H2H series came way back, and the two draws in April 2025 (1-1 and 1-1) show that tight games are possible.

League Table Positions

Monterrey Women sit 1st in the Liga MX Women overall table with 30 points from 11 games (10 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), scoring 40 goals and conceding 13. Tigres UANL Women are 3rd with 28 points (9 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 34 and conceding 10. At home, Tigres UANL Women are 2nd with 16 points from 6 games (5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), conceding just 1 goal. Monterrey Women are the best away team in the league, ranked 1st with 15 points from 5 games (5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), scoring 15 and conceding 5.

Win Probability: Tigres UANL Women or Monterrey Women?

Based on the available data—team form, head-to-head record, league standings, and home/away performance—we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Tigres UANL Women win 35%, draw 25%, Monterrey Women win 40%. Monterrey Women's perfect away record and top league position give them a slight edge, but Tigres UANL Women's historical dominance in this fixture (4 wins in 7 H2H matches) and their rock-solid home defense (1 goal conceded in 6 home games) balance the scales. The draw probability is significant given two of the last four H2H matches ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see this as a very close contest. Monterrey Women's relentless away form makes them marginal favorites, but Tigres UANL Women's H2H superiority and home strength cannot be ignored. Our prediction: Monterrey Women have the highest chance to win at 40%, but a draw or a Tigres UANL Women victory are both realistic outcomes. Expect a low-scoring, tactical battle given Tigres UANL Women's defensive record at home.