Montpellier - Red Star FC 93 prediction 26 October 2026

The Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 prediction for October 26, 2026, in Ligue 2 points to a closely contested match. Montpellier holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while the draw is also at 35%, and Red Star FC 93 has a 30% chance. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, but Montpellier’s home form and league position give them a narrow advantage.

Team Form

Montpellier come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 Ligue 2 games:

• Oct 19: Rodez Aveyron 0-3 Montpellier (W)
• Oct 9: Montpellier 2-0 Grenoble (W)
• Sep 18: Reims 1-1 Montpellier (D)
• Sep 11: Montpellier 1-0 Pau (W)
• Sep 5: Saint Etienne 3-1 Montpellier (L)

At home, they are unbeaten in 4 matches (2 wins, 2 draws) with only 1 goal conceded, showcasing a rock-solid defense.

Red Star FC 93 have been impressive on the road, winning 4 of their last 5 overall:

• Oct 17: Red Star 0-1 Saint Etienne (L)
• Oct 10: Clermont 2-3 Red Star (W)
• Sep 19: Guingamp 1-3 Red Star (W)
• Sep 14: Red Star 1-0 Metz (W)
• Sep 4: Stade Lavallois 1-2 Red Star (W)

Their away record is perfect this season: 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 trips, scoring 10 goals and conceding 5.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings between Montpellier and Red Star FC 93 both ended in 1-1 draws:

• May 9, 2026: Red Star 1-1 Montpellier
• Aug 9, 2025: Montpellier 1-1 Red Star

Neither side has managed a win in this fixture, highlighting how evenly matched they are.

League Table Positions

Montpellier sit 3rd in the Ligue 2 table with 18 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 11 goals and conceded only 5, boasting the joint-best defense in the league. Red Star FC 93 are 6th with 17 points from 9 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses), with 12 goals scored and 10 conceded. Notably, Red Star are the best away team in the division, collecting 13 points from 5 road games, while Montpellier have the 6th-best home record (8 points from 4 games).

Win Probability: Montpellier or Red Star FC 93?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following win probabilities: Montpellier win – 35%, draw – 35%, Red Star FC 93 win – 30%. The raw odds (home 2.70, draw 2.30, away 3.10) imply a 32.8% chance for Montpellier, 38.6% for the draw, and 28.6% for Red Star after removing the bookmaker margin. We adjusted these figures upward for Montpellier due to their home advantage and solid defensive record, and slightly for Red Star because of their flawless away form. The draw remains a very strong possibility given the H2H history and the odds market.

Odds & Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this match. The best available prices range from 2.10 to 2.70 for a Montpellier win, 2.22 to 2.40 for the draw, and 2.90 to 3.35 for a Red Star FC 93 victory. These odds reflect a tight contest with the draw as the favorite. Our Montpellier vs Red Star FC 93 prediction: while Montpellier have the home edge, Red Star’s away prowess cannot be ignored. The most likely outcome is a draw, but a narrow Montpellier win is also plausible. A 1-1 scoreline fits the historical pattern and the defensive strengths of both sides.