Montreal Impact - Nashville prediction 24 October 2026

Montreal Impact vs Nashville prediction for the MLS match on October 24, 2026, at Saputo Stadium. Based on the stats, Nashville enters this match as the clear favorite with a 68% chance of winning, while Montreal Impact struggles as the home underdog.

Team Form

Montreal Impact's recent form is poor, with just one win in their last five matches (W1, D1, L3). At home, they lost 0-3 to Atlanta United on Oct 15 and 0-2 to Columbus Crew on Sep 20, but did manage a 3-1 win over FC Cincinnati on Sep 27. Their latest outing was a 1-1 draw at Seattle Sounders on Oct 18.

Nashville is in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five (W4, D1). They posted dominant home wins over Sporting Kansas City (4-0), Toronto FC (2-0), and Chicago Fire (3-0), and an impressive 4-1 away win at Austin FC on Oct 11. Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw at San Jose Earthquakes on Oct 18.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record heavily favors Nashville. In 12 previous meetings, Nashville has 7 wins, Montreal Impact has 1 win, and 4 matches ended in draws. The most recent clash was on July 23, 2026, where Nashville won 1-0 at home. Montreal Impact's lone victory came back on June 22, 2023 (1-0 at home). The last encounter at Saputo Stadium ended in a 1-1 draw on October 4, 2025.

League Table Positions

Nashville sits top of the overall MLS standings with 67 points from 30 matches (20 wins, 7 draws, 3 losses). They boast the best goal difference in the league (+41), scoring 64 and conceding just 23. Montreal Impact is not in the top 12 of the table, indicating a significant gap in performance. Nashville's away record is also strong (5th, 24 points from 15 games), losing only 3 times on the road.

Win Probability: Montreal Impact or Nashville?

The probability calculation, based on odds, form, H2H, and league standings, assigns the following chances: Montreal Impact win — 15%, Draw — 17%, Nashville win — 68%. Nashville's dominant league position, superior form, and commanding head-to-head record (7 wins in 12 matches) heavily tilt the probabilities. Montreal Impact's poor recent results and low table position give them a very slim chance. The draw probability is slightly higher than a home win due to Nashville's occasional draws away from home.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers clearly favor Nashville. The best available odds from the pre-match market see Nashville's away win priced around 1.64 to 1.95, while Montreal Impact's home win is as high as 4.60 to 5.10. The draw odds range from 2.38 to 4.30. Based on the stats, all indicators point to a Nashville victory. The gap in quality and consistency between the league leaders and Montreal Impact makes the away win the most likely match outcome.