Vancouver Rise Women - Montreal Roses Women prediction 19 September 2026

The Montreal Roses Women vs Vancouver Rise Women prediction for the Northern Super League Women match on Jul 30, 2026, at 02:00 sees league leaders Montreal Roses Women as the favorite. Based on the latest odds, team form, and standings, Montreal Roses Women have a 45% chance of winning, while Vancouver Rise Women have a 25% chance, and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Vancouver Rise Women have had a mixed run in their last five matches, recording two wins and three losses. They suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Halifax Tides Women on Jul 25, then beat AFC Toronto Women 3-0 away on Jul 18. Before that, they lost 1-3 at home to AFC Toronto Women on Jun 28 and 1-3 at home to Ottawa Rapid FC Women on Jun 14. Their most recent win was a 3-2 away victory over Montreal Roses Women on May 30.

Montreal Roses Women have one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. They lost 0-2 at home to AFC Toronto Women on Jul 23, beat Halifax Tides Women 1-0 at home on Jul 12, lost 1-2 at home to Ottawa Rapid FC Women on Jun 25, drew 1-1 at home with Calgary Wild FC Women on Jun 21, and drew 1-1 away to AFC Toronto Women on Jun 13. Their form shows resilience but a lack of cutting edge in recent weeks.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between Montreal Roses Women and Vancouver Rise Women have been evenly contested. The head-to-head record shows two wins for each side and one draw. The most recent clash on May 30, 2026, ended in a 3-2 away win for Vancouver Rise Women. Earlier in May 2026, Montreal Roses Women won 4-0 at home. In 2025, Vancouver won 1-0 away in October, Vancouver won 2-1 at home in August, and a 0-0 draw occurred in June 2025. Overall, the H2H record is balanced, with neither team holding a clear psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Montreal Roses Women sit top of the Northern Super League Women table with 13 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have scored 13 goals and conceded 6. Vancouver Rise Women are 3rd with 9 points from 6 games (3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses), scoring 9 and conceding 15. Notably, Montreal Roses Women boast the best away record in the league: 3 wins and 1 draw from 4 away matches, with 7 goals scored and only 3 conceded. Vancouver Rise Women have played 2 home games, winning one and losing one, with 4 goals for and 4 against. The table positions and away form strongly favor Montreal.

Win Probability: Montreal Roses Women or Vancouver Rise Women?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Montreal Roses Women win – 45%, draw – 30%, Vancouver Rise Women win – 25%. The bookmakers' odds imply a 41.7% chance for an away win, but Montreal's superior league position and outstanding away form (unbeaten in 4 away games) justify an upward adjustment. Vancouver's inconsistent home form and defensive vulnerabilities (15 goals conceded in 6 games) reduce their chances. The draw probability remains significant given the balanced H2H and Montreal's recent two draws.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Vancouver Rise Women as the underdogs, with home win odds ranging from 3.75 to 4.00. The draw is offered at 2.50 to 2.60, while an away win for Montreal Roses Women is available at 2.05 to 2.25. These odds clearly indicate that Montreal are the favorites. Our Montreal Roses Women vs Vancouver Rise Women prediction is an away win, but with a 30% chance of a draw, bettors should consider the double chance market. Based on the stats, Montreal Roses Women are the more likely winners, but Vancouver could snatch a point if they tighten up defensively.