Moreirense - Estrela Amadora prediction 31 October 2026
Moreirense
Estrela Amadora
Estoril PraiaMoreirenseAvs Futebol SadMoreirenseMoreirenseGil VicenteVitoria GuimaraesMoreirenseMoreirenseMaritimoMoreirenseBenficaFC PortoMoreirenseCasa PiaMoreirenseMoreirenseBenficaAroucaMoreirenseMoreirenseBragaMoreirenseAmaranteMoreirenseSanta ClaraMoreirenseAvs Futebol SadTondelaMoreirenseEstrela AmadoraCasa PiaFazendenseEstrela AmadoraAroucaEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraAcademico ViseuRio AveEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraBragaEstrela AmadoraFamalicaoNacional MadeiraEstrela AmadoraAlvercaEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraSporting LisbonEstrela AmadoraAl Nassr RiyadhEstrela AmadoraNacional MadeiraBragaEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraFamalicaoMoreirenseEstrela Amadora| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 2.15 | 2.80 | |
| 2.90 | 2.15 | 2.75 | |
| 2.90 | 2.08 | 2.72 | |
| 2.85 | 2.15 | 2.65 | |
| 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.62 | |
| 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.46 |
- 13Andrรฉ Ferreiragoalkeeper
- 76Dinis Pintoforward
- 66Gilberto Batistadefender
- 65Guilherme Liberatomidfielder
- 4Kevyn Monteirodefender
- 27Kikodefender
- 10Kiko Bondosoforward
- 79Leonardo Voniฤforward
- 7Manuel Mendoncamidfielder
- 23Nile Johnmidfielder
- 19Tiago Andradeforward
- 25Afonso Assis
- 17รlvaro Martรญnez
- 28Chipyoka Songa
- 12Francisco Sampaio
- 32Janderson
- 11Landerson Costa Araรบjo
- 2Leandro Santos
- 8Mateja Stjepanovic
- 21Rodrigo Alonso
- 1Wanderson Aranha
- 99Yan Maranhao
- 99Abraham Marcusforward
- 39Eddy Douรฉmidfielder
- 10Ianis Stoicaforward
- 37Leandro Antonettiforward
- 24Lรฉo Linckgoalkeeper
- 14Lovro Zvonarekmidfielder
- 30Luan Patrickdefender
- 55Rafa Soaresdefender
- 21Max Scholzedefender
- 78Santiago Serramidfielder
- 5Stefan Lekovicdefender
- 80Alisson Souza
- 79Atanas Chernev
- 93Bรฉnito
- 4Bernardo Schappo
- 22David Grilo
- 51Diogo Pinto
- 72Henrique Poniewas
- 17Jefferson Encada
- 19Joan Jordรกn
- 6Kevin Hรถรถg Jansson
- 3Lucas Mincarelli
- 28Tom Moustier
MoreirenseEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraMoreirenseMoreirenseEstrela AmadoraEstrela AmadoraMoreirenseEstrela AmadoraMoreirenseMoreirenseEstrela Amadora| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora Prediction (Oct 31)
Our Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora prediction for this Primeira Liga match on October 31, 2026, at 15:30 points to a tight contest at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Frei. Based on our win probability analysis, Estrela Amadora holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of winning, Moreirense has a 34% chance, and the draw is at 22%.
Team Form
Moreirense come into this match with a shaky run of results: L, L, D, W, L in their last five outings. A 1-0 loss at Avs Futebol Sad in the Cup on October 17 was followed by a 0-1 home defeat to Gil Vicente. Their only recent positive note was a 3-1 home win over Maritimo on September 14. This patchy form leaves them vulnerable at home.
Estrela Amadora's recent form (L, W, L, L, D) is also inconsistent. They suffered a 0-2 home loss to Casa Pia on October 24 but did secure a 2-1 cup win at Fazendense. With just one clean sheet in five, defensive stability is a concern for the visitors.
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H record heavily favors Moreirense, who are unbeaten in six meetings: 3 wins and 3 draws. The last clash was a thrilling 3-2 home victory for Moreirense on May 2, 2026. Estrela Amadora have never beaten Moreirense, with the last four Primeira Liga encounters producing two draws and two Moreirense wins.
League Table Positions
In the Primeira Liga standings, Estrela Amadora sit 10th with 10 points from 9 matches (2W, 4D, 3L). Moreirense are 12th with 8 points from 8 matches (2W, 2D, 4L). Both sides are in the lower half, but Estrela's slightly better points-per-game ratio gives them a marginal upper hand. The home table is not available for Moreirense, but Estrela's away record shows resilience in a league where FC Porto dominate.
Win Probability: Moreirense or Estrela Amadora?
After calculating the inverse of the best available odds and adjusting for the unbeaten H2H record and recent form, the probabilities are: Moreirense win: 34%, Draw: 22%, Estrela Amadora win: 44%. Despite Moreirense's historical dominance, Estrela's slightly superior league position and Moreirense's poor recent results shift the balance. Estrela Amadora is the more likely winner, but this is a low-confidence pick given the strong draw trend in H2H.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as an open match. The best odds available are: Home win at 3.15, Draw at 2.08, and Away win at 2.48. The remarkably short draw odds reflect the 50% draw rate in recent head-to-head meetings. Our Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora prediction is that Estrela Amadora are the value pick to win, but the draw is a statistically sound insurance. Based on the stats, we anticipate a low-scoring match with a possible 1-1 or 0-1 final score.
Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora โ FAQ
- Who will win Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora?
- Estrela Amadora is the most likely winner with a 44% probability. Moreirense has a 34% chance, and the draw is at 22%. This prediction is based on recent form and league standings, although Moreirense lead the head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for Estrela Amadora?
- Estrela Amadora has a 44% chance of winning. This percentage is derived from a combination of bookmaker odds, their slightly better league position (10th), and Moreirense's poor recent form of one win in five matches.
- When is the Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora match?
- The match is on October 31, 2026, at 15:30 local time. It is a Primeira Liga fixture and will be played at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Frei in Braga.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available 1X2 odds are: Moreirense win at 3.15, Draw at 2.08, and Estrela Amadora win at 2.48. These odds suggest a very close contest, with the draw priced as the most probable single outcome by bookmakers.