| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 83:36 | +47 | 87 | |
| 2 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 81:41 | +40 | 85 | |
| 3 | 41 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 87:55 | +32 | 79 | |
| 4 | 41 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 74:44 | +30 | 77 | |
| 5 | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 85:61 | +24 | 72 | |
| 6 | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 67:48 | +19 | 71 | |
| 7 | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 92:70 | +22 | 69 | |
| 8 | 41 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 55:51 | +4 | 60 | |
| 9 | 41 | 14 | 17 | 10 | 59:51 | +8 | 59 | |
| 10 | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 74:66 | +8 | 58 | |
| 11 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 67:65 | +2 | 58 | |
| 12 | 41 | 15 | 10 | 16 | 59:64 | -5 | 55 | |
| 13 | 41 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 56:65 | -9 | 55 | |
| 14 | 41 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 44:60 | -16 | 52 | |
| 15 | 41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 62:65 | -3 | 50 | |
| 16 | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 60:76 | -16 | 46 | |
| 17 | 41 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 51:68 | -17 | 45 | |
| 18 | 41 | 12 | 7 | 22 | 56:79 | -23 | 43 | |
| 19 | 41 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 56:72 | -16 | 41 | |
| 20 | 41 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 40:91 | -51 | 32 | |
| 21 | 41 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 49:76 | -27 | 29 | |
| 22 | 41 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 33:86 | -53 | 27 |
Our Ossett United vs Morpeth Town prediction for the Northern Division One fixture on October 13, 2026 (19:45) sees Morpeth Town as the favorite with a 37% chance of winning. The odds and recent form point toward an away victory, though a tight contest is expected.
Ossett United come into this match with a mixed set of results: WWLLD in their last five outings. They beat Garforth Town (3-2) and Bridlington Town (3-1), but lost to Blyth Spartans (3-0) and FC United of Manchester (4-1), before a goalless draw at West Auckland Town. This run shows inconsistency, especially in defence during the two defeats.
Morpeth Town, on the other hand, have recorded WWWLD โ three wins, one loss, and one draw. Their victories came against Guisborough Town (2-1), West Auckland Town (2-1), and Witton Albion (2-0). The only setbacks were a 2-1 FA Cup loss at Blyth Spartans and a 2-2 friendly draw with Hebburn Town. The away sideโs recent form is clearly stronger, with three wins in their last five.
No head-to-head data is available โ the two teams have never faced each other in any recorded competition. This makes the upcoming match an unpredictable meeting with no historical precedent to draw on.
Based on bookmaker odds, form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:
The odds-implied probabilities were taken from the average of available 1X2 markets and then adjusted for the visitorsโ superior recent form (three wins in five) and the lack of any head-to-head benchmark. Despite playing at home, Ossett Unitedโs inconsistency shifts the balance slightly toward Morpeth Town.
Bookmakers offer a wide range of odds for this Northern Division One clash. Based on the four pricing sets collected, a home win for Ossett United is priced between 2.60 and 3.50, a draw between 2.25 and 3.60, and an away win for Morpeth Town between 2.25 and 2.62. The market clearly sees Morpeth Town as the more likely winner, which aligns with our 37% probability assessment.
Our match prediction: given the visitorsโ stronger form (WWWLD vs WWLLD) and the odds backing an away result, the most probable outcome is a Morpeth Town win. A draw cannot be ruled out, but the away team holds a clear edge. For betting tips, considering the odds variation, looking for value in the away win market around 2.50 or higher may be worth exploring.