Raufoss - Moss prediction 11 October 2026

The Raufoss vs Moss prediction for the 1 Division clash on Oct 11, 2026, at 16:00 points to a home advantage. Our analysis gives Raufoss a 45% win probability, a draw 30%, and Moss 25%. This betting tip considers team form, head-to-head record, and league standings to answer who will win this match.

Team Form

Raufoss's recent form (L-W-W-L-L) shows inconsistency. Their last five matches:

• Sep 20: Raufoss 0-2 Stromsgodset (L)
• Sep 16: Elverum 0-3 Raufoss (W, Cup)
• Sep 13: Raufoss 2-1 Odds BK (W)
• Sep 5: Kongsvinger 9-1 Raufoss (L)
• Aug 30: Raufoss 0-3 Sandnes Ulf (L)

They have conceded 15 goals in these five games, highlighting defensive frailties. Moss's away form (D-W-L-W-L) is equally patchy:

• Sep 23: Grorud 1-1 Moss (D, Cup)
• Sep 20: Sandnes Ulf 1-2 Moss (W)
• Sep 13: Moss 1-4 Haugesund (L)
• Sep 5: Stabaek 2-3 Moss (W)
• Aug 30: Moss 1-2 Strommen (L)

Moss have scored in all but one of these matches, but also concede regularly. Both teams' matches often feature over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Raufoss. In 12 meetings, Raufoss have won 3, Moss 2, and 7 ended in draws. The last five encounters:

• Jul 26, 2026: Moss 1-2 Raufoss
• Feb 27, 2026: Raufoss 3-3 Moss (Friendly)
• Nov 8, 2025: Moss 1-1 Raufoss
• Apr 1, 2025: Raufoss 3-2 Moss
• Mar 8, 2025: Raufoss 1-0 Moss (Friendly)

Raufoss are unbeaten in these five (3W 2D), and have won the last two home meetings. This historical dominance gives them a psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Neither Raufoss nor Moss feature in the top 12 of the 1 Division standings, indicating they are in the lower half. The league is topped by Haugesund (55 points), with Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger in the promotion spots. Both teams will be eager to climb away from the bottom, making this a crucial fixture.

Win Probability: Raufoss or Moss?

Based on all available data, we calculate the match outcome chances as: Raufoss win 45%, draw 30%, Moss win 25%. Raufoss's home advantage and superior H2H record (unbeaten in last five) are the main factors. However, their recent heavy defeats and Moss's ability to score on the road increase the probability of a draw. Moss's low win probability reflects their poor historical record at this venue and inconsistent away form.

Raufoss vs Moss Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this match. Our prediction is a home win for Raufoss, but with a draw as a strong secondary outcome. A 2-1 or 1-1 scoreline appears likely given both teams' defensive issues. For betting tips, backing Raufoss to win or the draw no bet could offer value once odds are released.