Motherwell Women - Partick Thistle Women prediction 21 October 2026

Motherwell Women vs Partick Thistle Women prediction for their Premier League Women fixture on Oct 21 at 19:45. Partick Thistle Women are the slight favorites with a 38% win probability, while Motherwell Women hold a 33% chance of victory and the draw sits at 29%.

Team Form

Motherwell Women enter this match in poor form, losing four of their last five matches (L, W, L, L, L). Their most recent result was a 3-0 away defeat to Glasgow City Women on Oct 18. The only bright spot was a 1-0 home win against Aberdeen Women on Oct 4. Defeats to Spartans Women (0-2), Celtic Women (0-1), and Glasgow Rangers Women (0-3) highlight struggles at both ends, having scored just 1 goal across those four losses.

Partick Thistle Women also come in with poor form, matching the same L, L, W, L, L sequence. A heavy 6-1 away loss at Hearts Women on Oct 18 was preceded by a narrow 0-1 home loss to Glasgow Rangers Women. Their sole recent win was a 3-2 home victory against Montrose Women on Sep 27. Away from home, recent defeats to Glasgow City Women (4-1) and Hearts Women underline defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

The last 10 meetings heavily favor Partick Thistle Women: Motherwell Women have 1 win, 4 draws, and Partick Thistle Women have 5 wins. The most recent clash on Dec 21, 2025, saw Partick Thistle Women win 2-1 at home. The match before that, on Sep 21, 2025, ended 1-1 at Motherwell. Earlier results include a 1-1 draw in Nov 2024, a 4-2 win for Partick Thistle in Jan 2024, and a 4-2 away win for Partick Thistle in Nov 2023. Partick Thistle have been the dominant side historically.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Premier League Women in Scotland. While exact current league positions are not provided, the recent form suggests both are likely in the lower half of the table. Motherwell Women have struggled at home, taking just 3 points from their last 5 home matches. Partick Thistle Women have also found consistency hard to come by, with just one win in their last 5 overall.

Win Probability: Motherwell Women or Partick Thistle Women?

Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, here is the calculated win probability: Motherwell Women have a 33% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Partick Thistle Women have a 38% chance. The total equals 100%. We used the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.10, draw 2.35, away 2.45) and normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Partick Thistle's superior head-to-head record (5 wins vs 1) and Motherwell's recent scoring drought at home tilt the probabilities in favor of the away side, though both teams' poor form makes the draw a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The best odds available show a Motherwell Women win at 3.10, a draw at 2.35, and a Partick Thistle Women win at 2.45. The relatively low draw odds reflect the 4 stalemates in their last 10 H2H meetings. Partick Thistle Women are the narrow favorites. Based on the stats, history, and probabilities, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Partick Thistle Women, though a draw is a strong second possibility. A low-scoring match could be on the cards given Motherwell's recent attacking struggles.