Mounties Wanderers - South Coast Flame prediction 28 August 2026

Mounties Wanderers vs South Coast Flame prediction for the NSW League 2 match on August 28, 2026, at 10:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Mounties Wanderers are the strong favorites with a 75% chance of winning, while a draw has an 18% probability and South Coast Flame have just a 7% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

Mounties Wanderers

Mounties Wanderers are in outstanding form with five consecutive wins. Their last five matches in NSW League 2:

• Aug 15: Stanmore Hawks 1–4 Mounties Wanderers (away)
• Aug 07: Mounties Wanderers 4–2 Bankstown United (home)
• Jul 24: Sydney University 2–4 Mounties Wanderers (away)
• Jul 18: Gladesville Ryde Magic 1–6 Mounties Wanderers (away)
• Jul 10: Mounties Wanderers 6–0 Camden Tigers SC (home)

They have scored 24 goals and conceded only 6 in these five matches, averaging nearly 5 goals per game. Their attacking power and defensive solidity make them the team to beat.

South Coast Flame

South Coast Flame have struggled recently, with just one win and one draw in their last five outings:

• Aug 22: South Coast Flame 1–1 Gladesville Ryde Magic (home)
• Aug 15: Granville Rage 1–2 South Coast Flame (away)
• Aug 08: South Coast Flame 1–3 Parramatta Eagles (home)
• Jul 31: Fraser Park 3–2 South Coast Flame (away)
• Jul 25: South Coast Flame 0–2 Stanmore Hawks (home)

They have scored 6 goals and conceded 10 in this period, averaging only 1.2 goals scored per game and conceding 2.0. The Flame have lost three of their last four and will need a massive improvement to challenge the in-form Wanderers.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on May 17, 2026, in NSW League 2. The match ended in a 1–1 draw at South Coast Flame's home ground. The limited history shows a competitive encounter, but current form suggests a different outcome this time.

Win Probability: Mounties Wanderers or South Coast Flame?

Based on the bookmaker odds, team form, and head-to-head record, the calculated win probabilities are:

• Mounties Wanderers win: 75%
• Draw: 18%
• South Coast Flame win: 7%

The odds across five bookmakers give an average implied probability of 67.5% for a home win, 21.9% for a draw, and 10.6% for an away win. However, Mounties Wanderers' five-match winning streak and South Coast Flame's poor form (one win in five) heavily tilt the probabilities further in favor of the home side. The only previous H2H was a draw, but that was away for Mounties, and they are now playing at home, where they have been dominant. Therefore, Mounties Wanderers are the clear favorite, with a draw being the next most likely outcome, and a South Coast Flame victory highly unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Mounties Wanderers as the overwhelming favorite. The best available odds for the match (prematch, 1X2 market) are:

• Mounties Wanderers: lowest 1.17, highest 1.41
• Draw: 3.40 to 8.00
• South Coast Flame: 6.25 to 12.00

One bookmaker offers odds as short as 1.17 for a home win, reflecting the huge gap in form. The draw is priced between 3.40 and 8.00, and an away win is considered a major upset with odds up to 12.00. Our prediction: Mounties Wanderers to win. Given their scoring prowess and South Coast Flame's defensive frailties, a comfortable home victory is expected.