Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - MS Tira prediction 30 September 2026

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs MS Tira prediction for the League Alef match on Sep 30 at 13:00. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, MS Tira has a 45% chance of winning, while a draw is at 35% and a Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad win sits at 20%. Bookmakers see the away side as the favorite, and the stats back that up.

Team Form

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad come into this match with a form line of L, D, D, D, W over their last five fixtures. Their most recent outing was a 3-0 loss away to Beitar Nahariya on Sep 23. Before that, they played three consecutive draws – 1-1 at home to Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, 1-1 away at Tzeirey Um El Fahem, and a 0-0 home stalemate against Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye. The only win in this sequence was a 2-0 home cup victory over Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel in August. The team has struggled to pick up wins, with a tendency toward low-scoring draws.

MS Tira, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches with form of D, D, W, W, D. They drew 1-1 at home to Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Sep 23, and before that recorded a 1-1 away draw at Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jat. Two consecutive wins came against Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed (1-0 away) and a 3-2 cup victory at Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot, followed by a 0-0 draw at Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot in the league back in February. That solid run, combined with an ability to score on the road, makes MS Tira a confident traveling side.

Head-to-Head Record

The teams have met twice in recent head-to-head history, both in League Alef. The record is perfectly balanced: 1 home win, 0 draws, and 1 away win. The most recent clash on Jan 16, 2026, saw MS Tira claim a 3-0 away victory at Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad. Their only other meeting, on Sep 7, 2025, finished 2-1 to Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad, who won away at MS Tira’s ground. So each side has an away win in this fixture, underlining how unpredictable these matchups can be, though the last result suggests a psychological edge for MS Tira.

Win Probability: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad or MS Tira?

We calculated outcome probabilities based on the inverse of bookmaker odds, normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for recent form and the head-to-head split. The result: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad has a 20% chance of winning, the draw sits at 35%, and MS Tira holds a 45% probability of victory.

The reasoning: the odds from two bookmakers imply MS Tira as the favorite, especially the second set (home 3.75, draw 3.35, away 1.80). The draw is also heavily priced in the first set (2.20), reflecting Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad’s draw-heavy form – three of their last five ended all square. MS Tira’s solid unbeaten run and two away wins in that sequence give them a clear edge. Head-to-head is even, but the 3-0 away win this year tilts the probability slightly further toward the away side. Home advantage for Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad is the only factor keeping their win chance from dipping below 20%. MS Tira are the more likely winners, but the draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ pre-match odds for this League Alef fixture are split across two sources. One bookmaker offers 1X2 odds of home 4.33, draw 2.20, away 2.40, while the other lists home 3.75, draw 3.35, away 1.80. The consensus sees MS Tira as the favorite, though the first set suggests a tight contest with a strong draw possibility.

Match prediction: Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an away win for MS Tira, but with a draw rate higher than average for this matchup. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline seems plausible, given Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad’s recent struggle to score (only two goals in their last four league games) and MS Tira’s consistent record of at least one away goal in their last five matches. For those looking for betting tips, the draw no bet on MS Tira or the double chance X2 offer value. Always consider the latest lineup news before placing any bets.