Puskas Academy U19 - MTK Budapest U19 prediction 5 September 2026

The Puskas Academy U19 vs MTK Budapest U19 prediction for their League U19 clash on Sep 05, 2026, at 08:00 UTC points towards a clear away win. Based on odds, head-to-head dominance, and a perfect five-match winning streak, MTK Budapest U19 enter as the heavy favorite with a 55% win probability, while Puskas Academy U19 are given just a 20% chance. The draw is rated at 25%.

Team Form

Puskas Academy U19's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five outings (L, W, L, D, W). Their last match ended in a 0–2 away defeat to Gyori ETO U19. At home, they managed a 4–1 win against Illes Akademia Haladas U19 but also dropped points in a 3–3 draw with Ujpesti TE U19.

MTK Budapest U19, by contrast, are on a flawless run. They have won all of their last five matches (W, W, W, W, W), scoring 17 goals and conceding only 5 in that period. Their most recent victory was a 3–1 home win over Vasas Kubala Academy U19. This streak includes a 4–1 demolition of Ferencvarosi U19 away from home, underlining their attacking firepower.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record heavily favors the away side. Across 25 previous meetings, MTK Budapest U19 have won 16 times, Puskas Academy U19 6, with 3 draws. The last five encounters reinforce this pattern:

• Feb 28, 2026: Puskas Academy U19 0–2 MTK Budapest U19
• Aug 30, 2025: MTK Budapest U19 2–0 Puskas Academy U19
• Mar 14, 2025: Puskas Academy U19 3–1 MTK Budapest U19
• May 21, 2022: MTK Budapest U19 3–2 Puskas Academy U19
• Apr 02, 2022: Puskas Academy U19 0–2 MTK Budapest U19

MTK Budapest U19 have won four of the last five meetings, keeping three clean sheets in the process. Puskas Academy U19's only recent success came at home in March 2025.

Win Probability: Puskas Academy U19 or MTK Budapest U19?

We calculate the outcome probabilities by combining bookmaker odds with recent form and head-to-head data. The raw implied probabilities from the 1X2 odds (Puskas Academy U19 4.50, draw 2.75, MTK Budapest U19 1.95) were 20.2% home win, 33.1% draw, and 46.7% away win after removing the margin. However, MTK Budapest U19's perfect five-match form and a 16–6 H2H advantage force an adjustment. The final weighted probabilities are:

• Puskas Academy U19 win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• MTK Budapest U19 win: 55%

MTK Budapest U19 are the clear favorite in this matchup, with a 55% chance of securing all three points. The draw is a realistic possibility at 25%, while a home upset is rated at just 20%.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' 1X2 odds reflect the visiting side's strength: Puskas Academy U19 4.50, draw 2.75, MTK Budapest U19 1.95. These odds imply a strong expectation of an away win. Based on the stats, MTK Budapest U19's perfect form, and their historical dominance in this fixture, the most likely outcome is an away victory. The draw cannot be ruled out given Puskas Academy U19's occasional home resilience, but the data strongly favors the visitors. Our prediction: MTK Budapest U19 to win.