MTK Women - Ujpesti Women prediction 16 September 2026

The MTK Women vs Ujpesti Women prediction for this NBI Women clash on September 16, 2026, at 11:00 UTC points to a clear home favorite. Based on the available data, MTK Women have a 70% chance of winning, while Ujpesti Women sit at 15%, with the draw probability at 15%.

Team Form

MTK Women come into this fixture with a solid recent record, posting three wins and two draws in their last five matches. They secured a 1-0 away victory at Gyori ETO Women on Sep 12, followed by consecutive 0-0 home draws against Pecsi MFC Women and Astra Hungary Women. Prior to that, they earned 1-0 home wins over Szent Mihaly SE Women and Budapest Honved Women. Ujpesti Women have also been in strong form, with four wins and one draw in their last five. Their most recent result was a 1-0 home win against Szent Mihaly SE Women on Sep 12, adding to a 3-1 away win at Fehervar FC Women and a 2-1 home victory over Budapest Honved Women.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors MTK Women, who have won all three previous meetings with no draws or losses. The most recent encounter on May 9, 2026, saw MTK Women win 2-0 at home. Earlier, on November 8, 2025, they defeated Ujpesti Women 3-0 away, and a Cup Women match on March 5, 2025, ended in a dominant 6-0 away win for MTK Women. The aggregate score across these three matches is 11-0 in MTK Women's favor.

League Table Positions

While exact league table positions and points are not provided in the data, the head-to-head dominance and recent form suggest MTK Women are the stronger side in the NBI Women. Ujpesti Women's positive recent results indicate they may be higher in the standings than in previous seasons, but the historical gap between the two teams remains significant.

Win Probability: MTK Women or Ujpesti Women?

MTK Women have a 70% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Ujpesti Women have a 15% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.52, draw 2.38, away 4.60), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The resulting implied probabilities were then adjusted to account for MTK Women's perfect 3-0 head-to-head record, their home advantage, and the 11-0 aggregate score across all meetings. Ujpesti Women's recent good form prevents their probability from being even lower, but the historical mismatch is too large to ignore.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see MTK Women as the clear favorite. The best available odds show a home win at 1.52, a draw at 2.38, and an away win at 4.60. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with home odds ranging from 1.52 to 2.00. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home win for MTK Women, continuing their perfect record against Ujpesti Women.