Mukura - Police FC Rwanda prediction 17 September 2026
Mukura
Police FC RwandaMukuraGicumbiEtoile de L'EstMukuraAmagajuMukuraMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraGasogi UnitedGicumbiMukuraMukuraBugeseraMukuraGorilla FCMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraRutsiro FCMukuraAPRMukuraAl Merrikh OmdurmanAS KigaliMukuraMarines GisenyiMukuraAS MuhangaMukuraMusanzePolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaGorilla FCSunrise FCPolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaGicumbiGasogi UnitedPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaKiyovu SportsPolice FC RwandaAl Hilal OmdurmanMusanzePolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaGorilla FCPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaMarines GisenyiPolice FC RwandaBugeseraAmagajuPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaEtincellesMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaMukuraMukuraPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaMukuraMukuraPolice FC RwandaPolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraPolice FC RwandaMukuraMukuraPolice FC Rwanda| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gorilla FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 11 |
| 2 | Mukura | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Gicumbi | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Marines Gisenyi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 |  Amagaju | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Sunrise FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 |  Etincelles | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Bugesera | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Musanze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Gasogi United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Kiyovu Sports | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Police | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |  AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Etoile de L'Est | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Rayon Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Mukura vs Police FC Rwanda Prediction (Sep 17)
The Mukura vs Police FC Rwanda prediction for September 17, 2026, sees Mukura as the favorite with a 47% win probability. This National League match kicks off at 13:00, and based on recent form and home advantage, Mukura has a clear edge over Police FC Rwanda.
Team Form
Mukura's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (W, L, D, W, D). Their most recent outing was a strong 2-0 home victory against Gasogi United on September 6. Police FC Rwanda, on the other hand, have one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five (L, W, D, D, D). They suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Gicumbi on September 7, which highlights some defensive concerns.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is very balanced. In 14 previous meetings, Mukura have won 3, Police FC Rwanda have won 4, and 7 matches ended in draws. The last five encounters underline this trend: two draws (0-0 in May 2026 and 1-1 in November 2025), one Police FC Rwanda win (1-0 in the Cup in May 2025), another 0-0 draw in April 2025, and a 2-0 win for Mukura in November 2024. The high number of draws suggests a tight contest is likely.
League Table Positions
In the National League overall standings, Mukura sit 4th with 3 points from 1 match (1 win, 2 goals scored, 0 conceded). Police FC Rwanda are 12th with 0 points from 1 match (1 loss, 1 goal scored, 2 conceded). At home, Mukura are also 4th with a perfect record from their single home game. Police FC Rwanda have not yet played an away league match this season, so their away form is untested in the current campaign.
Win Probability: Mukura or Police FC Rwanda?
Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Mukura has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Police FC Rwanda has a 20% chance. The odds imply a very tight match, but Mukura's strong home form and higher league position give them the advantage. The high historical draw rate between these teams significantly increases the probability of a stalemate.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer odds of 3.25 for a Mukura win, 1.91 for the draw, and 3.60 for a Police FC Rwanda victory. The low odds on the draw reflect the head-to-head history and the teams' recent form. Based on the stats, our Mukura vs Police FC Rwanda prediction is a home win or a draw, with Mukura being the more likely winner if a result is forced. A bet on under 2.5 total goals also looks appealing given the defensive records.
Mukura vs Police FC Rwanda โ FAQ
- Who will win Mukura vs Police FC Rwanda?
- Based on our analysis, Mukura has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Police FC Rwanda has a 20% chance. Mukura's strong home form and higher league position make them the favorite, but the high number of draws in past meetings means a stalemate is a very realistic outcome.
- What is the win probability for Mukura?
- Mukura has a 47% win probability for this match. This is calculated from the betting odds, their recent home win against Gasogi United, and their 4th-place position in the National League table compared to Police FC Rwanda's 12th place.
- When is the Mukura vs Police FC Rwanda match?
- The match is on September 17, 2026, at 13:00. It is a National League fixture in Rwanda.
- What are the odds for Mukura vs Police FC Rwanda?
- The current 1X2 odds are: Mukura win at 3.25, a draw at 1.91, and a Police FC Rwanda win at 3.60. The low draw odds highlight how evenly matched these teams have been historically.
- What is the head-to-head record between Mukura and Police FC Rwanda?
- In 14 previous meetings, Mukura have won 3, Police FC Rwanda have won 4, and 7 matches ended in draws. The last five encounters include three draws, one Police FC Rwanda win, and one Mukura win.