CD Inca - Municipal Limeno prediction 2 October 2026

The CD Inca vs Municipal Limeno prediction for their Primera Division clash on October 2, 2026, at 01:00 points towards an away win. Based on the latest odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Municipal Limeno enters this match as the favorite with a 44% win probability, while CD Inca has a 28% chance of victory and the draw stands at 28%.

Team Form

CD Inca's recent form has been mixed, with results showing D, W, L, W, W in their last five matches. They are coming off a 1-1 draw away at Alianza FC El Salvador on September 27. Prior to that, they secured home wins against Fuerte San Francisco (2-1) and Atletico Balboa (1-0), but suffered a 3-1 defeat at CD Aguila El Salvador. An away win at Isidro Metapan (1-0) rounds out their recent run.

Municipal Limeno's last five results read L, L, W, D, W. They lost their most recent match 3-1 at home to CD FAS on September 28. Before that, they were beaten 3-2 at Alianza FC El Salvador. Away wins against Fuerte San Francisco (2-0) and Atletico Balboa (2-0), along with a 0-0 home draw against CD Aguila El Salvador, show their ability to pick up points on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, with Municipal Limeno winning that encounter. On July 30, 2026, Municipal Limeno defeated CD Inca 2-0 at home in the Primera Division. CD Inca has yet to register a win or a draw in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera Division standings, Municipal Limeno sits 5th with 17 points from 12 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses). CD Inca is 10th with 12 points from 12 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses). The away team's superior position and points tally highlight the gap between the sides. Municipal Limeno's away record is particularly strong, ranked 4th in the league with 9 points from 6 away games, while CD Inca's home form is not among the top 8 in the home standings.

Win Probability: CD Inca or Municipal Limeno?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities for this match are: CD Inca 28%, Draw 28%, Municipal Limeno 44%. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.13, draw 2.10, away 1.91), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Municipal Limeno's stronger recent away form, their head-to-head victory, and their higher league position. Municipal Limeno has a clear statistical advantage, making them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show Municipal Limeno as the favorite. The best available odds are: CD Inca win at 3.13, draw at 2.10, and Municipal Limeno win at 1.91. These odds reflect the away team's stronger standing and recent performances. Based on the stats, form, and H2H record, the prediction is an away win for Municipal Limeno, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the competitive nature of the Primera Division.