MuSA - Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura prediction 26 September 2026

{ "h1": "Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs MuSA Prediction (Sep 04)", "seotext": "

Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs MuSA prediction for the Kakkonen match on Sep 04, 2026. Based on the latest odds and team form, MuSA is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura has only a 25% chance. The draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura are in terrible form, losing their last five matches in a row. The most recent was a 1-2 home defeat to MuSA on Aug 22. Other results include a 0-4 loss at Tampereen IIves II, a 0-7 thrashing at Honka, a 0-1 home loss to P-Iirot, and a 1-2 home defeat to AIFK. They have conceded heavily and failed to score in three of those five.

MuSA have not been much better, with just one win in their last five. That win came against Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura on Aug 22 (2-1 away). They lost 0-4 at home to EBK, 1-2 at home to AIFK, 0-7 away at Tampereen IIves II, and 0-2 at home to EPS. Both teams are struggling for consistency, but MuSA’s win over this opponent stands out.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last six meetings, MuSA hold a clear advantage with 3 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 win for Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura. The most recent encounter was on Aug 22, 2026, when MuSA won 2-1 away. Earlier this season, they drew 0-0 in MuSA. In 2025, MuSA won 2-1 at home and 3-0 away, while Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura’s only win came on Aug 08, 2025, a 5-1 away victory. The head-to-head data strongly favors the away side.

Win Probability: Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura or MuSA?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is 30%, and MuSA has a 45% chance. The odds imply a similar outcome, with MuSA as the clear favorite. The home team’s five-match losing streak and poor defensive record make them an unlikely winner, while MuSA’s head-to-head dominance and recent win over this opponent boost their chances. The draw remains a significant possibility given the low-scoring history.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds around 3.00–3.20 for a home win, 2.60–2.62 for a draw, and 2.20–2.38 for an away win. The best odds for a MuSA victory are 2.20, showing they are seen as the most likely winner. Our prediction: based on the stats, MuSA should win this match, but the draw is a serious alternative. The home team’s form is too poor to back with confidence.

", "faq_title": "Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs MuSA — FAQ", "faq": [ { "question": "Who will win Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs MuSA?", "answer": "Based on the analysis, MuSA is more likely to win with a 45% probability. A draw has a 30% chance, and Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura has only a 25% chance. The head-to-head record and recent form favor the away side." }, { "question": "What is the win probability for MuSA?", "answer": "MuSA has a 45% win probability. This is calculated from odds, their head-to-head advantage (3 wins in 6 meetings), and the fact that Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura have lost their last five matches." }, { "question": "When is the Nurmijarven Jalkapalloseura vs MuSA match?", "answer": "The match is on Sep 04, 2026, at 15:00 UTC. It is a Kakkonen fixture, the third tier of football in Finland." }, { "question": "What are the odds for the match?", "answer": "The odds range from 3.00 to 3.20 for a home win, 2.60 to 2.62 for a draw, and 2.20 to 2.38 for an away win. MuSA are the clear favorites according to bookmakers." } ] }