Delfin SC - Mushuc Runa prediction 9 October 2026

The Mushuc Runa vs Delfin SC prediction for this Serie A encounter on Aug 30, 2026, at 20:00 points to a home victory. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Mushuc Runa have a 50% chance of winning, while the draw is at 28% and Delfin SC sit at 22%.

Team Form

Mushuc Runa come into this match in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws (W-D-D-W-W). Their most recent result was a 1-0 home victory over Delfin SC on Aug 28, 2026. Earlier in August, they secured a 3-0 away win at Tecnico Universitario and a 2-1 victory at Manta FC, while holding Deportivo Cuenca (0-0) and Barcelona Guayaquil (0-0) to draws. The team has scored 5 goals and conceded just 1 in this five-match stretch.

Delfin SC, on the other hand, are struggling with only one win in their last five matches (L-L-W-L-D). That lone victory came in the Cup against Juventud Italiana (1-0 away). In the league, they lost 1-0 to Mushuc Runa, 1-0 at home to SD Aucas Quito, and 3-2 at Independiente Del Valle, while drawing 1-1 with Orense SC. With just 2 goals scored and 6 conceded in those five games, their form is a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

In 16 previous meetings, Delfin SC lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Mushuc Runa's 6, and only 1 draw. However, the home side has dominated recent encounters. Mushuc Runa have won their last two home matches against Delfin SC (1-0 in Aug 2026 and 2-0 in Feb 2025), while Delfin SC have won all three recent home clashes (1-0 in May 2026, 3-1 in Jun 2025, and 4-2 in Nov 2024). This pattern strongly suggests home advantage is decisive in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Mushuc Runa currently occupy 8th place in the Serie A overall standings with 36 points from 27 matches (9 wins, 9 draws, 9 losses). At home, they are even stronger, ranking 6th with 23 points from 14 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses). Delfin SC are not in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a significantly lower position. They also fail to appear in the top 8 of the away standings, highlighting their poor performances on the road. The gap in league standing further supports Mushuc Runa's favorite status.

Win Probability: Mushuc Runa or Delfin SC?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are:

• Mushuc Runa win: 50%
• Draw: 28%
• Delfin SC win: 22%

Mushuc Runa's strong home record (only 3 losses in 14 games), their current unbeaten run, and the recent 1-0 victory over Delfin SC give them a clear edge. Delfin SC's away struggles and poor form make an away win unlikely. The draw probability reflects Mushuc Runa's tendency to share points at home (5 draws in 14 matches). Overall, Mushuc Runa are the team most likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not currently available in our data. Nevertheless, based on the stats, Mushuc Runa emerge as the clear favorites. Our Mushuc Runa vs Delfin SC prediction is a home win. The combination of form, head-to-head home dominance, and league positions makes Mushuc Runa the safest bet, while a draw could be a value alternative for cautious punters.