Oss - MVV Maastricht prediction 3 October 2026

The Oss vs MVV Maastricht prediction for this 1 Eerste Divisie match on October 3, 2026, points to a closely contested encounter. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Oss holds a slight advantage with a 35% win probability, while MVV Maastricht stands at 30%, and a draw is estimated at 35%. Read on for a detailed Oss vs MVV Maastricht prediction, including form, head-to-head, and win probabilities.

Team Form

Oss’s last five results: L, W, L, L, W. They suffered away defeats to Emmen (0-1), VVV Venlo (1-3), and SBV Vitesse Arnhem (1-2), but at home they were strong — beating Dordrecht 3-0 and Jong FC Utrecht 2-1. In those five matches, Oss scored 7 goals and conceded 7.

MVV Maastricht’s recent form reads W, L, L, D, W. They won 2-0 at home against Helmond Sport, lost 1-6 away to RKC Waalwijk, were beaten 0-4 at home by Almere City, drew 1-1 with Roda JC at home, and won 2-1 at Jong AZ Alkmaar. They netted 6 times but conceded 12, highlighting defensive issues on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

Over 26 meetings between Oss and MVV Maastricht, the home side has won 10, drawn 5, and the away side 11 times — a virtually even record. In their last five clashes:

• Apr 24, 2026: MVV Maastricht 0–2 Oss (Oss win)
• Aug 8, 2025: Oss 4–0 MVV Maastricht (Oss win)
• Jan 10, 2025: Oss 1–0 MVV Maastricht (Oss win)
• Dec 22, 2023: MVV Maastricht 2–0 Oss (MVV win)
• Nov 10, 2023: Oss 0–1 MVV Maastricht (MVV win)

Oss have won three of those five, including the most recent matchup, giving them a mental edge.

League Table Positions

MVV Maastricht sits 3rd in the 1 Eerste Divisie with 16 points (5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; goals 12:15). Their away form is decent — 2 wins and 1 loss from three trips. Oss’s exact league position is not provided in the current data, but their recent mixed results suggest a mid-table standing.

Oss vs MVV Maastricht Prediction & Win Probability

Using the match odds as a baseline and adjusting for form and head-to-head, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:

• Oss win: 35%
• Draw: 35%
• MVV Maastricht win: 30%

The bookmakers’ implied chances (Oss ~36.7%, draw ~35.9%, MVV ~27.5%) have been slightly adjusted upward for MVV due to their stronger league position and competitive H2H record. Still, Oss’s home advantage and recent H2H dominance make them the narrow favorite, though a draw is an equally probable outcome.

Oss vs MVV Maastricht Prediction & Odds

The leading bookmaker odds for this match are Oss 2.25, draw 2.30, and MVV 3.00. The market clearly views Oss as the more likely winner, but the narrow gap between the home and draw odds reflects the expected tightness. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a low-scoring draw, but Oss’s home form means a narrow 1-0 or 2-1 win cannot be discounted. For betting tips, double chance on Oss or draw offers value, and under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering given both teams’ recent scoring records.