Albion Montevideo Reserves vs Nacional Montevideo Reserves prediction for this Primera Division Reserve League match on October 6, 2026. Nacional Montevideo Reserves are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while Albion Montevideo Reserves have a 30% chance and the draw is at 25%.
Albion Montevideo Reserves have been inconsistent in their last five matches, recording two wins and three losses. They lost 1-0 away to Boston River Reserves on September 29, then suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Defensor Sporting Reserves on September 21. A 3-1 home win over CA Progreso Reserves on September 15 was followed by a 5-2 away loss to Central Espanol Reserve on September 8. Their most recent victory was a 5-0 home thrashing of Cerro Largo Reserve on September 1. Over these five games, Albion scored 10 goals and conceded 10, highlighting defensive issues.
Nacional Montevideo Reserves have two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 at home with Central Espanol Reserve on September 28, won 2-0 away at Cerro Largo Reserve on September 21, lost 3-1 at home to CA Penarol Montevideo Reservers on September 14, won 6-1 away at River Plate Montevideo Reserves on September 7, and lost 2-0 away to Racing Montevideo Reserves on August 31. Nacional scored 10 goals and conceded 7 in this period. Their away form has been strong, with two wins and one loss in the last three road trips, including an impressive 6-1 victory.
These teams have met four times in the Primera Division Reserve League. Nacional Montevideo Reserves lead with two wins to Albion Montevideo Reserves' one, and one draw. The most recent encounter on June 1, 2026, saw Nacional win 1-0 at home. Albion won 1-0 at home on October 20, 2025. The April 21, 2025 clash ended 2-2, and Nacional won 3-1 away on November 11, 2024. The head-to-head record suggests Nacional have the upper hand, especially in away fixtures.
Based on the available data, the win probabilities are: Albion Montevideo Reserves 30%, draw 25%, and Nacional Montevideo Reserves 45%. Nacional's superior head-to-head record (2 wins in 4 games) and their better away form (two wins in last three away matches) give them the edge. Albion's home advantage and occasional strong performances keep them in contention, but the visitors are the more likely winners. These percentages are calculated from form and H2H stats, as no bookmaker odds are available yet.
Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not yet available. When they appear, Nacional Montevideo Reserves are expected to be priced as favorites. Our prediction, based on form and head-to-head stats, is that Nacional Montevideo Reserves have the highest chance of winning. A draw could also be a plausible outcome given the one stalemate in their previous meetings. For those looking for betting tips, the away win is the most probable result, but the draw offers potential value.