Ringsted - Naesby prediction 26 September 2026

Our Ringsted vs Naesby prediction for the 3rd Division match on September 26, 2026, points to an away win, with Naesby having a 44% chance of victory according to our analysis. The match kicks off at 12:00, and bookmakers agree that the visitors are the better side despite both teams struggling for form.

Team Form

Ringsted come into this fixture with only one win in their last five matches, losing the other four. Their most recent outing was a 5-2 defeat away at Holbaek on September 18, and the home loss to Bronshoj (1-3) on September 13 highlighted a defence that has conceded 23 goals in eight league games this season.

Naesby have not won any of their last five matches, recording two draws and three defeats. A 1-1 home draw with Helsingor on September 19 ended a run of back-to-back losses, while a cup defeat to AC Horsens (2-3) on September 16 showed competitive spirit. Away from home, Naesby’s recent record is poor, with no wins in five (two draws, three losses) across all competitions.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no relevant head-to-head data for this fixture. The teams have not met in recent competitive matches, so historical results provide no guide for this prediction.

League Table Positions

Ringsted are bottom of the 3rd Division table with just 4 points from 8 games (1 win, 1 draw, 6 losses). They have scored 10 goals and conceded 23, giving them the worst defensive record in the league. Naesby sit 7th with 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), having scored 14 and conceded 13.

At home, Ringsted’s record is not among the top eight in the league; their only win this season came at home against Sundby BK on August 29. Naesby’s away form stands at 1 win and 3 losses from 4 away games – a mixed bag but still enough to rank 7th in the away table.

Win Probability: Ringsted or Naesby?

After normalising the average bookmaker odds (home 3.85, draw 2.54, away 2.15) to remove the margin and adjusting for recent form, league positions, and home/away factors, we estimate the following outcome probabilities:

• Ringsted win: 22%
• Draw: 34%
• Naesby win: 44%

Naesby are the most likely winners, mainly due to a significantly better league standing and odds that clearly favour them. However, both sides are in poor form, which raises the chance of a stalemate. Ringsted’s home advantage and the visitors’ inability to win away keep the draw probability relatively high.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Naesby as the favourite, offering average odds of 2.15 for an away win. Ringsted are the underdogs at 3.85, and the draw is priced around 2.54. Based on the stats, Naesby appear the most likely winners, but a draw is a strong possibility. Our prediction is an away win for Naesby.