Naft Gachsaran - Fard Alborz FC prediction 19 October 2026
Naft Gachsaran
Fard Alborz FCNaft GachsaranFard Alborz FC
FC Pars Jonoubi Jam BushehrNaft GachsaranNaft GachsaranArioBesat KermanshahNaft GachsaranShenavar Sazi QeshmNaft GachsaranMes KermanNaft GachsaranNaft GachsaranBesat KermanshahDamash GilanNaft GachsaranNaft GachsaranSaipaPalayesh Naft Bandar AbbasNaft GachsaranNaft GachsaranShahrdari NoshahrFC Pars Jonoubi Jam BushehrNaft GachsaranNaft GachsaranSanat Naft AbadanNavad Urmia FCNaft GachsaranNaft GachsaranFard Alborz FCFard Alborz FCHavadar SCNaft GachsaranFard Alborz FCFard Alborz FCShahin Bandar AmeriNaft Masjed SoleymanFard Alborz FCNiroye ZaminiFard Alborz FCFard Alborz FCMes KermanFard Alborz FCNassaji MazandaranBesat KermanshahFard Alborz FCFard Alborz FCSaipaNiroye ZaminiFard Alborz FCFard Alborz FCSanat Naft AbadanFard Alborz FCMes KermanPalayesh Naft Bandar AbbasFard Alborz FCFard Alborz FCFC Pars Jonoubi Jam BushehrShahrdari NoshahrFard Alborz FCNaft GachsaranFard Alborz FCNaft GachsaranFard Alborz FCFard Alborz FCNaft Gachsaran| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 15 |
| 2 |  Mes Rafsanjan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 |  Ario | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Fard Alborz FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Mes Soongoun Varzaghan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Saipa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Besat Kermanshah | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Novin Ahvaz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Naft Gachsaran | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 |  Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mes Kerman | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Niroye Zamini | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 |  Havadar SC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1:10 | -9 | 2 |
Naft Gachsaran vs Fard Alborz FC Prediction (Oct 19)
Our Naft Gachsaran vs Fard Alborz FC prediction for this Oct 19 Azadegan League clash points towards a tight contest. Based on our win probability analysis, Fard Alborz FC enters as the favorite with a 53% chance of winning, while Naft Gachsaran has a 25% chance and the draw sits at 22%. The match kicks off at 15:30.
Team Form
Naft Gachsaran are struggling for consistency, with their last five matches returning two draws and three losses (D, L, D, L, L). A 1-0 defeat away to FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr on Oct 12 and a 0-1 home loss to Ario on Sep 22 highlight their difficulties in finding the net. Away from home, they have managed two goalless draws in that run but conceded four goals in another fixture.
Fard Alborz FC show a more balanced recent record, with two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, L, W, D, L). They secured an impressive 3-0 home victory against Shahin Bandar Ameri on Oct 11 and a 0-1 away win at Niroye Zamini on Sep 21. Their only home defeat in this sequence was a narrow 0-1 loss to Nassaji Mazandaran.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between Naft Gachsaran and Fard Alborz FC consists of just two encounters, both ending in draws. The most recent meeting on Jan 27, 2026, finished 1-1 at Naft Gachsaran. The earlier fixture on Sep 4, 2025, ended 0-0 when Fard Alborz FC hosted. This history suggests very little separates these sides.
League Table Positions
In the Azadegan League standings, Fard Alborz FC sit 6th overall with 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), scoring 5 and conceding only 2. Naft Gachsaran are not featured in the top 12 of the provided table, indicating a lower position. Fard Alborz FC hold a strong 5th place home record with 5 points from 3 games, while their away form has earned them 3 points from 2 matches. The gap in points and defensive solidity notably favors the visitors.
Win Probability: Naft Gachsaran or Fard Alborz FC?
Our calculated win probability, based on the provided odds and adjusted for form and H2H stats, gives Fard Alborz FC a 53% chance of winning. The draw has a 22% probability, and Naft Gachsaran holds a 25% chance. We derived these percentages from the inverse of the bookmaker odds, normalizing to remove the margin. Fard Alborz FCโs superior league position and more positive recent results solidify their status as the likely winner, though the history of draws between these teams adds caution.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a closely fought contest. Available odds show Fard Alborz FC priced at 3.30 and 3.10 for an away win, Naft Gachsaran at 3.60 and 3.80 for a home win, and the draw consistently at 1.83. The very low draw odds reflect the two stalemates in their head-to-head record. Based on the stats, Fard Alborz FC is the value pick to secure a narrow victory, but bettors should expect a low-scoring affair with a strong possibility of the match ending level.
Naft Gachsaran vs Fard Alborz FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Naft Gachsaran vs Fard Alborz FC?
- Our win probability analysis gives Fard Alborz FC a 53% chance of winning, Naft Gachsaran a 25% chance, and the draw a 22% chance. Fard Alborz FC is the favorite based on superior league standing and recent form.
- What is the win probability for Fard Alborz FC?
- Fard Alborz FC has a calculated 53% chance of winning this match. This probability is derived from bookmaker odds, adjusted for their 6th-place league position and Naft Gachsaran's poor recent record of no wins in five matches.
- When is the Naft Gachsaran vs Fard Alborz FC match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, with a kick-off time of 15:30 local time. It is a fixture in the Iranian Azadegan League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The available 1X2 odds are 3.60 or 3.80 for a Naft Gachsaran home win, 1.83 for the draw, and 3.30 or 3.10 for a Fard Alborz FC away win. The draw is currently the lowest-priced outcome.