FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr - Naft Masjed Soleyman prediction 28 September 2026

The FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr vs Naft Masjed Soleyman prediction for the Azadegan League match on Sep 28, 2026, at 16:30 local time points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Naft Masjed Soleyman holds a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while the draw is also at 35% and FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr has a 30% chance. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely single outcome, but the away side's strong start to the season gives them a marginal advantage.

Team Form

FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W2 D3), but three of those results were draws. Their most recent matches were goalless stalemates against Shahin Bandar Ameri (away) and Shenavar Sazi Qeshm (home). Earlier, they secured a 3-0 away win at Niroye Zamini and a 2-0 victory at Sanat Naft Abadan, showing they can be clinical on the road. At home, however, they have only one draw from their single league fixture this season, a 0-0 result.

Naft Masjed Soleyman's form is more volatile: three wins and two losses in the last five. They started the current campaign with a 3-0 away demolition of Ario, but then suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas. In the previous season's closing matches, they beat Besat Kermanshah 2-0 and Fajr Sepasi 2-1, but lost 0-2 at Niroye Zamini. Their away record this season is perfect so far: one win, three goals scored, none conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record slightly favours the home side: FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr have won 3, Naft Masjed Soleyman 2, and 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent meeting, on Feb 6, 2025, finished 2-2 after Naft Masjed Soleyman hosted. Before that, in November 2023, Naft won 2-1 at this venue. Historically, the fixture has been evenly matched, with neither team dominating.

League Table Positions

After two matchdays, Naft Masjed Soleyman sit 5th in the Azadegan League with 3 points (1 win, 1 loss, goals 3:1). FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr are 11th with 2 points from two draws (goals 0:0). In the away standings, Naft are joint-top with a perfect record from one trip. FC Pars are 8th in the home table, having drawn their only home game 0-0. The early-season numbers give Naft a clear edge in terms of points and goal difference.

Win Probability: FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr or Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Using the average bookmaker odds (home 2.95, draw 2.34, away 2.95) and removing the margin, the raw implied probabilities are: home win 30.7%, draw 38.7%, away win 30.7%. Adjusting for recent form and league standings, we raise Naft's chances slightly because of their strong away win and higher table position, while FC Pars' tendency to draw reduces their win likelihood. The final probabilities are:

• FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr win: 30%
• Draw: 35%
• Naft Masjed Soleyman win: 35%

Naft Masjed Soleyman has a 35% chance of winning, making them the narrow favourite. The draw is equally probable, reflecting both teams' recent records of stalemates and the balanced H2H history.

Odds & Match Prediction

One bookmaker offers odds of 3.00 for a home win, 2.38 for the draw, and 3.00 for an away win. Another lists 2.90, 2.30, and 2.90 respectively. The draw is priced as the most likely outcome. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards Naft Masjed Soleyman to win or draw, with a low-scoring affair likely. Both teams have shown defensive solidity – FC Pars have yet to concede this season, while Naft kept a clean sheet in their away win. A 1-0 away victory or a 1-1 draw are the most plausible scorelines.