Nairobi United - Aps Bomet FC prediction 25 October 2026
Nairobi United
Aps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FC
Shabana FCNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankGor MahiaNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedKenya Police FCNairobi UnitedPosta RangersKariobangi SharksNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedTuskerNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankMathare UnitedNairobi UnitedMuranga SealNairobi UnitedPosta RangersNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCGor MahiaMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCTuskerAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCAFC Leopards SCBandariAps Bomet FCMathare UnitedAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCKenya Commercial BankAps Bomet FCSofapakaPosta RangersAps Bomet FCUlinzi StarsAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC Prediction (Sep 11)
The Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC prediction for September 11, 2026, points to a tight Kenya Premier League contest. Nairobi United enter as slight favorites with a 40% win probability, but Aps Bomet FC's strong away form and a history of draws make this a tricky call. The match kicks off at 12:00 and could easily end in a stalemate.
Team Form
Nairobi United have drawn four of their last five matches (D,D,W,D,D), with the only win coming away at Gor Mahia (1-0). At home, they've been solid but toothless, recording three goalless draws in that run. Defensively they are organized, but scoring remains a concern.
Aps Bomet FC, on the other hand, are in much better rhythm. Their last five results read D,D,W,W,W, including a 2-1 home win over AFC Leopards and a 2-0 away victory at Bandari. They have found the net consistently and will travel with confidence.
Head-to-Head Record
The last four meetings between these sides are evenly split: 1 win for Nairobi United, 2 draws, and 1 win for Aps Bomet FC. The most recent clash, in March 2026, ended 0-0. At this venue, Nairobi United have won once, drawn once, and lost once against Aps Bomet โ no clear home dominance.
- Mar 28, 2026: Aps Bomet FC 0-0 Nairobi United
- Feb 04, 2026: Nairobi United 1-2 Aps Bomet FC
- Jan 28, 2026: Nairobi United 0-0 Aps Bomet FC
- Nov 17, 2024: Nairobi United 1-0 Aps Bomet FC (Super League)
League Table Positions
The current league table shows all teams with zero points, as the season is yet to begin or data is unavailable. Therefore, standings offer no advantage to either side for this Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC prediction.
Win Probability: Nairobi United or Aps Bomet FC?
Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
- Nairobi United win: 40%
- Draw: 35%
- Aps Bomet FC win: 25%
The odds imply a home-favorite scenario, but Nairobi United's inability to turn draws into wins lowers their chance. Aps Bomet's three wins in five away games boost their probability, yet the historical balance and Nairobi's home stubbornness keep the draw as a very realistic outcome. Overall, Nairobi United are slightly more likely to win, but a draw is almost as probable.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for this Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC clash show home win quotes around 1.91โ1.92, the draw at 1.95โ2.95, and an away win at 3.80โ4.33. The wide range on the draw reflects uncertainty, while the away odds suggest Aps Bomet are clear underdogs.
Our Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC prediction: based on the stats, the most likely result is a low-scoring draw. Nairobi United could edge it by a single goal, but Aps Bomet's form makes them dangerous. A 1-1 draw or a 1-0 home win are the most realistic scorelines. For betting tips, the draw or under 2.5 goals look attractive.
Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC?
- Nairobi United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Aps Bomet FC have a 25% chance. Nairobi United are slight favorites, but the match is very open and a draw is a strong possibility.
- What is the win probability for Nairobi United?
- Nairobi United have a 40% win probability. This is based on bookmaker odds, home advantage, and a solid defensive record, though their recent form with four draws in five games lowers their chance.
- When is the Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC match?
- The match is on September 11, 2026, at 12:00 local time. It is a Kenya Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for Nairobi United vs Aps Bomet FC?
- Bookmakers offer home win odds around 1.91โ1.92, the draw between 1.95 and 2.95, and an away win for Aps Bomet FC at 3.80โ4.33. The odds reflect Nairobi United as the favorite but also highlight the possibility of a draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Nairobi United and Aps Bomet FC?
- In their last four meetings, both teams have won once and drawn twice. The most recent match, in March 2026, ended 0-0. The record shows a very even rivalry.