Nanjing Fengfan - Shaanxi Union prediction 7 October 2026

The Nanjing Fengfan vs Shaanxi Union prediction for this China. League One clash on Oct 7, 2026 at 12:30 points to an away victory. Shaanxi Union enters the match as the clear favorite with a 45% win probability, while struggling Nanjing Fengfan has just a 22% chance of causing an upset, and the draw sits at 33%.

Team Form

Nanjing Fengfan are in disastrous form, losing all of their last five matches. They suffered defeats against Wuxi Wugou (0-3), Meizhou Hakka (1-2), Suzhou Jinfu Dongwu (0-2), Guangxi Hengchen FC (0-2), and Shenzhen Juniors FC (1-3). The team has conceded 12 goals in that run while scoring only twice, showing serious defensive frailties.

Shaanxi Union, in contrast, have been much more consistent with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They beat Dalian K'un City 3-0, drew 2-2 with Suzhou Jinfu Dongwu, lost 0-1 away to Ningbo Professional FC Huilong, then defeated Heilongjiang Ice City FC 2-1 and Yanbian Longding 3-1. Their attack has been potent, netting 10 goals in those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record slightly favors Nanjing Fengfan. In three previous meetings, Nanjing Fengfan have won once and drawn twice, with Shaanxi Union yet to record a victory. The most recent encounter on May 29, 2026 ended 0-1 in Nanjing Fengfan's favor, while the last match at this venue finished 3-3 on Aug 9, 2025. The overall H2H tally: 1 home win, 2 draws, 0 away wins.

League Table Positions

Shaanxi Union sit 5th in the China. League One standings with 36 points from 24 matches (10 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses). They boast a strong home record (8W-3D-1L) but have been less dominant on the road. Nanjing Fengfan are not listed among the top 12 teams in the available table, indicating a lower-table position and a significant gap in quality between the two sides.

Win Probability: Nanjing Fengfan or Shaanxi Union?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head data, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Nanjing Fengfan win: 22%
• Draw: 33%
• Shaanxi Union win: 45%

The bookmakers' average odds of 3.38 (home), 2.54 (draw), and 2.29 (away) imply a 26.25% / 34.95% / 38.81% probability split after removing the margin. We adjusted these numbers to reflect Nanjing Fengfan's five-game losing streak and Shaanxi Union's superior form and league standing, while still giving weight to Nanjing Fengfan's unbeaten H2H record and home advantage. The conclusion is clear: Shaanxi Union are the more likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Shaanxi Union as the favorite, offering average odds around 2.29 for an away win. A draw is priced at approximately 2.54, and a home victory for Nanjing Fengfan at 3.38. These odds reflect the gulf in current form and league position. Our prediction: based on the stats, Shaanxi Union should have the edge, but Nanjing Fengfan's positive H2H record and the possibility of a low-scoring stalemate make the draw a live runner. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline appears the most realistic outcome.