The Wuhan Three Towns II vs Nantong Haimen Codion prediction for the China League Two match on September 18, 2026, gives the away side a clear edge. According to our win probability analysis, Nantong Haimen Codion has a 38% chance of winning, while Wuhan Three Towns II sits at 30% and the draw at 32%.
Wuhan Three Towns II have had an inconsistent run, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. They drew 0-0 away at Taian Tiankuang on Sep 12, thrashed Ganzhou Ruishi FC 4-0 at home on Aug 23, but then suffered a 0-3 loss at Guangdong Mingtu on Aug 16 and a 0-2 home defeat to Jiangxi Beidamen Liansheng on Aug 08. Their most recent win was a 4-1 away victory over Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha on Aug 02.
Nantong Haimen Codion are unbeaten in their last five outings, recording four draws and one win. They drew 1-1 at home to Chengdu Rongcheng B on Sep 12, 2-2 at home to Shandong Taishan B on Aug 22, and 1-1 at home to Qingdao Red Lions on Aug 19. Their only win in this stretch was a 2-0 away success at Shanghai Segenda on Aug 15. They also drew 0-0 at home to Qingdao Red Lions on Aug 09.
There is no head-to-head record between Wuhan Three Towns II and Nantong Haimen Codion, as the two sides have never met before. This will be their first competitive encounter.
We calculated the win probabilities using the latest match odds as a base, then adjusted for recent form and home advantage. The initial implied probabilities from the odds (2.89 home, 2.75 draw, 2.47 away) were 31.1% for a home win, 32.6% for a draw, and 36.3% for an away win. After factoring in Nantong Haimen Codionโs unbeaten run and Wuhan Three Towns IIโs mixed results, we slightly increased the away sideโs chances. The final outcome probabilities are: Wuhan Three Towns II win โ 30%, draw โ 32%, Nantong Haimen Codion win โ 38%. Nantong Haimen Codion is the more likely winner, but a stalemate cannot be ruled out.
The best available odds for this China League Two fixture are 2.89 for a home win, 2.75 for the draw, and 2.47 for an away win. Bookmakers see Nantong Haimen Codion as the favourite, and our analysis supports that view. Based on the stats, Nantong Haimen Codion has the highest chance of taking all three points, but their tendency to draw matches makes the draw a very realistic outcome. A low-scoring affair is possible, with both teams likely to find the net given their recent scoring records.