Nantong Haimen Codion - Xiamen Feilu prediction 7 October 2026

Nantong Haimen Codion vs Xiamen Feilu prediction for the China. League Two match on October 7, 2026, at 12:30. Nantong Haimen Codion are the favorites with a 46% chance of winning, while the draw probability stands at 36% and Xiamen Feilu have an 18% chance based on the latest odds and team form.

Team Form

Nantong Haimen Codion come into this match unbeaten in their last five games, with two wins and three draws. Their recent results are:

• Sep 18: Wuhan Three Towns II 0-2 Nantong Haimen Codion (away win)
• Sep 12: Nantong Haimen Codion 1-1 Chengdu Rongcheng B (home draw)
• Aug 22: Nantong Haimen Codion 2-2 Shandong Taishan B (home draw)
• Aug 19: Nantong Haimen Codion 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions (home draw)
• Aug 15: Shanghai Segenda 0-2 Nantong Haimen Codion (away win)

The team has been solid defensively, keeping two clean sheets in away wins, but they have conceded in all three home draws. The pattern of drawing at home (three consecutive 1-1 or 2-2 results) suggests they may struggle to secure a win in front of their own fans.

Xiamen Feilu have had a mixed run with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches:

• Sep 19: Xiamen Feilu 3-0 Beijing Ligong Institute Technology (home win)
• Sep 13: Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Xiamen Feilu (away loss)
• Aug 23: Xiamen Feilu 0-2 Wenzhou FC (home loss)
• Aug 16: Jiangxi Beidamen Liansheng 0-2 Xiamen Feilu (away win)
• Aug 8: Xiamen Feilu 0-0 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha (home draw)

Xiamen Feilu's away form is inconsistent: they won 2-0 at Jiangxi but lost 1-0 at Qingdao. Their home performances also vary from a 3-0 victory to a 0-2 defeat. This unpredictability makes them a risky bet.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Nantong Haimen Codion and Xiamen Feilu. This will be the first competitive clash between the two sides.

Win Probability: Nantong Haimen Codion or Xiamen Feilu?

Based on the available odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Nantong Haimen Codion win: 46%
• Draw: 36%
• Xiamen Feilu win: 18%

The bookmakers' average odds of 1.84 for a home win, 2.33 for the draw, and 4.27 for an away win imply a strong favoritism for Nantong Haimen Codion. After removing the overround, the fair probabilities are 45% home, 36% draw, and 19% away. We have slightly adjusted these figures to account for Nantong Haimen Codion's unbeaten run and Xiamen Feilu's inconsistent away form. The home side's tendency to draw matches at home (three draws in their last three home games) raises the draw probability, but their overall solidity makes them the most likely winners. Xiamen Feilu's 18% chance reflects their lower odds and less reliable performances.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds for the 1X2 market show Nantong Haimen Codion as the clear favorite. Across four bookmakers, the home win odds range from 1.77 to 1.95, the draw is priced between 2.05 and 3.17, and an away win is offered at 4.00 to 4.50. These odds indicate that bookmakers see Nantong Haimen Codion as the most likely outcome, with a draw also considered a strong possibility.

Our prediction: based on the stats, Nantong Haimen Codion are the more likely winners, but the high draw probability suggests that a stalemate cannot be ruled out. A home win or a draw are the two most probable results. Xiamen Feilu face an uphill task to take all three points.