Yanbian Longding - Nantong Zhiyun prediction 11 October 2026

The Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun prediction for this China. League One match on October 11, 2026, points to an away win. Based on the latest odds, team form, and league standings, Nantong Zhiyun has a 45% chance of winning, while Yanbian Longding holds just a 20% probability. The draw is estimated at 35%.

Team Form

Yanbian Longding are in poor shape, with a form record of D, L, L, L, L from their last five matches. They managed a 1-1 draw away at Changchun Yatai on Oct 6, but lost the previous four: 1-2 at home to Guandong GZ Power FC, 1-2 away to Guangxi Hengchen FC, 0-2 away to Wuxi Wugou, and 1-3 away to Shaanxi Union. They have scored just 4 goals in those five games while conceding 10.

Nantong Zhiyun, by contrast, are in strong form with W, W, L, W, D. They beat Ningbo Professional FC Huilong 1-0 at home on Oct 6, defeated Changchun Yatai 2-0 at home on Sep 26, lost 0-1 at home to Guangxi Hengchen FC on Sep 18, won 3-1 away at Wuxi Wugou on Sep 13, and drew 1-1 at home with Guandong GZ Power FC on Sep 5. That's three wins, one draw, and one loss, with 7 goals scored and only 3 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings, Yanbian Longding have won twice and Nantong Zhiyun once, with no draws. The most recent clash on Jun 14, 2026, saw Nantong Zhiyun win 2-0 at home. Before that, Yanbian Longding won 1-0 away on Nov 1, 2025, and 1-0 at home on Jun 29, 2025. The overall H2H record slightly favours the home side, but the last result went to Nantong.

League Table Positions

Nantong Zhiyun sit 3rd in the China. League One table with 45 points from 25 matches (12 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses). Yanbian Longding are 6th with 36 points (9 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses). The 9-point gap underlines Nantong's stronger campaign. Notably, Nantong Zhiyun have the best home record in the league (10 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), but this match is away, where they have drawn 8 of 12 games (2 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses). Yanbian Longding's home form is not among the top eight in the division.

Win Probability: Yanbian Longding or Nantong Zhiyun?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the latest odds and adjusting for recent form and H2H, the win probabilities are: Yanbian Longding 20%, Draw 35%, Nantong Zhiyun 45%. The away side's superior league position, excellent recent results, and Yanbian's four-match losing streak heavily tilt the balance. However, Nantong's tendency to draw on the road (8 draws in 12 away games) keeps the draw probability high.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Nantong Zhiyun as the favourite. The best available odds for an away win range from 1.91 to 2.52, while a home win is priced between 3.40 and 3.86. The draw is offered at 2.00 to 3.27. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away victory, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun prediction is a narrow win for Nantong Zhiyun, with under 2.5 total goals a plausible secondary bet given both teams' recent scoring records.