Napoli - AS Roma prediction 24 October 2026

Italy ยท Serie AFinished
Napoli
3:3
FT
AS Roma
Match Info
CompetitionSerie A ยท Italy
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeAndrea Colombo
Recent Form
Napoli
D
W
L
L
W
AS Roma
D
W
W
L
D
Recent matches ยท Napoli
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
33
D
UEFA Champions League
Napoli
Bodo/Glimt
43
W
Serie A
Venezia
Napoli
10
L
UEFA Champions League
Villarreal
Napoli
31
L
Serie A
Napoli
Frosinone
30
W
Serie A
Fiorentina
Napoli
11
D
Serie A
Napoli
Bologna
10
W
UEFA Champions League
Napoli
Arsenal FC
01
L
Serie A
Inter Milan
Napoli
32
L
Serie A
Napoli
Como 1907
12
L
Serie A
Genoa
Napoli
02
W
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Aris Thessaloniki
62
W
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Celta Vigo
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Osasuna
21
W
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Carrarese
20
W
Recent matches ยท AS Roma
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
33
D
UEFA Champions League
AS Roma
Slovan Bratislava
40
W
Serie A
AS Roma
Genoa
20
W
UEFA Champions League
AS Roma
Real Madrid
34
L
Serie A
Como 1907
AS Roma
00
D
Serie A
AS Roma
Inter Milan
22
D
Serie A
Torino
AS Roma
02
W
UEFA Champions League
Fenerbahce
AS Roma
11
D
Serie A
AS Roma
Atalanta
21
W
Serie A
Lecce
AS Roma
04
W
Serie A
AS Roma
Fiorentina
40
W
Friendly Clubs
Borussia Dortmund
AS Roma
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Brighton
AS Roma
30
L
Friendly Clubs
Newport County
AS Roma
14
W
Friendly Clubs
Cardiff City
AS Roma
41
L
Lineups
Napoli4-3-3
  • 21M. PolitanoF
  • 16Rafa MarรญnD
  • 19R. HรธjlundF
  • 22G. Di LorenzoD
  • 1A. MeretG
  • 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
  • 16M. OliveraD
  • 70N. LangF
  • 11K. De BruyneM
  • 8S. McTominayM
  • 5B. BadiashileD
Substitutes
  • 6B. Gilmour
  • 20L. Lucca
  • 32V. Milinkoviฤ‡-Saviฤ‡
  • 23Giovane
  • 14N. Contini
  • 21A. Vergara
  • 31S. Beukema
  • 35Luca Marianucci
  • 68S. Lobotka
  • 37L. Spinazzola
AS Roma3-5-2
  • 2D. RenschM
  • 5E. NdickaD
  • 14D. MalenF
  • 22HermosoD
  • 95P. GolliniG
  • 23G. ManciniD
  • 15M. de RoonM
  • 18M. SoulรฉF
  • 43WesleyM
  • 61N. PisilliM
  • 4B. CristanteM
Substitutes
  • 3K. Koulierakis
  • 9S. Castro
  • 87D. Ghilardi
  • 86Rodrigo Mora
  • 70G. De Marzi
  • 77E. Lulli
  • 26L. Balerdi
  • 20N. Molina
  • 32D. Vรกsquez
Head-to-Head ยท summary
11
Napoli
7
Draws
8
AS Roma
Previous meetings
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
33
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
22
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
01
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
11
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
10
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
20
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
21
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
01
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
11
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
00
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
02
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
40
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
40
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
21
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
10
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
10
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
14
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
11
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
11
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
24
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
24
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
24
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
01
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
01
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
32
Serie A
AS Roma
Napoli
32
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter871023:10+1322
2Lazio871016:5+1122
3AS Roma853019:6+1318
4AC Milan853016:7+918
5Como 1907852114:7+717
6Frosinone842217:13+414
7Juventus842211:8+314
8Torino841313:11+213
9Cagliari84136:9-313
10Napoli832313:10+311
11Atalanta831414:15-110
12Lecce83059:14-59
13Bologna82248:10-28
14Sassuolo822412:16-48
15Monza821515:18-37
16Genoa82156:13-77
17Udinese81169:18-94
18Fiorentina81169:19-104
19Parma81165:15-104
20Venezia81076:17-113
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction (Oct 24)

The Napoli vs AS Roma prediction for October 24, 2026, sees an intriguing Serie A clash at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Based on analysis of odds, form, and standings, AS Roma enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Napoli holds a 35% chance and the draw sits at 23%.

Team Form

Napoli's recent form is mixed, with results showing L, L, W, D, W in their last five matches across all competitions. They suffered away defeats to Venezia (1-0) and Villarreal (3-1) before rebounding with a 3-0 home win over Frosinone. A draw at Fiorentina (1-1) and a 1-0 home win against Bologna complete their last five.

AS Roma's last five show W, L, D, D, W. They won at home to Genoa (2-0) and lost a thriller to Real Madrid (3-4). Away draws at Como 1907 (0-0) and a home draw with Inter Milan (2-2), plus an away win at Torino (2-0), round out their form.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Napoli has won 2, AS Roma has won 1, and there have been 2 draws. The recent head-to-head record shows a 2-2 draw on Feb 15, 2026, and a 1-0 win for Napoli on Nov 30, 2025. Overall, across 25 matches, Napoli leads with 11 wins to Roma's 8, with 6 draws.

League Table Positions

In the Serie A standings, AS Roma sits 2nd with 17 points from 7 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Napoli is 9th with 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Roma's defense has been exceptional, conceding only 3 goals, while Napoli has scored 10 and conceded 7.

Win Probability: Napoli or AS Roma?

AS Roma has a 42% chance of winning, Napoli has a 35% chance, and the draw is at 23%. This probability is calculated from available bookmaker odds, adjusted for recent form and home advantage. The inverse of the average odds (removing the margin) gives Roma a baseline edge, which is supported by their superior league position and unbeaten start. Napoli's home advantage and positive H2H record at this stadium increase their chances, but their inconsistent recent form lowers their probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer various odds, with a home win around 2.75, the draw at 2.20โ€“3.50, and an away win around 2.65โ€“2.90. The shortest draw odds suggest a tight contest is expected. Based on the stats, AS Roma's unbeaten record and defensive strength make them the more likely winner, but Napoli's home form and H2H record suggest they can push for at least a point.

Napoli vs AS Roma โ€” FAQ

Who will win Napoli vs AS Roma?
AS Roma has a 42% chance of winning, Napoli has a 35% chance, and the draw is at 23%. AS Roma is the slight favorite based on their unbeaten league record and stronger recent form.
What is the win probability for AS Roma?
AS Roma has a 42% chance to win against Napoli. This is due to their 2nd place standing, only 3 goals conceded in 7 matches, and an unbeaten run, though Napoli's home advantage reduces the gap.
When is the Napoli vs AS Roma match?
The match is on October 24, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is a Serie A fixture to be played at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples.
What are the odds for the match?
Bookmaker odds show a home Napoli win around 2.75, a draw between 2.12 and 3.50, and an away AS Roma win around 2.65 to 2.90. The odds reflect a very close contest.
Napoli โ€“ AS Roma ยท match page