Venezia - Napoli prediction 17 October 2026

Italy ยท Serie AFinished
Venezia
1:0
FT
Napoli
Match Info
CompetitionSerie A ยท Italy
Start date
Kick-off
RefereeJuan Luca Sacchi
Recent Form
Venezia
L
W
L
L
L
Napoli
D
W
L
L
W
Recent matches ยท Venezia
Serie A
Genoa
Venezia
10
L
Serie A
Venezia
Napoli
10
W
Serie A
Atalanta
Venezia
31
L
Serie A
Venezia
Lazio
02
L
Serie A
Venezia
Fiorentina
24
L
Serie A
Frosinone
Venezia
32
L
Cup
Udinese
Venezia
21
L
Serie A
AC Milan
Venezia
20
L
Serie A
Venezia
Lecce
02
L
Cup
Venezia
Modena
32
W
Friendly Clubs
Brest
Venezia
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Saint Etienne
Venezia
43
L
Friendly Clubs
Galatasaray
Venezia
03
W
Friendly Clubs
Venezia
Vis Pesaro
80
W
Serie B
Venezia
Palermo
20
W
Recent matches ยท Napoli
Serie A
Napoli
AS Roma
33
D
UEFA Champions League
Napoli
Bodo/Glimt
43
W
Serie A
Venezia
Napoli
10
L
UEFA Champions League
Villarreal
Napoli
31
L
Serie A
Napoli
Frosinone
30
W
Serie A
Fiorentina
Napoli
11
D
Serie A
Napoli
Bologna
10
W
UEFA Champions League
Napoli
Arsenal FC
01
L
Serie A
Inter Milan
Napoli
32
L
Serie A
Napoli
Como 1907
12
L
Serie A
Genoa
Napoli
02
W
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Aris Thessaloniki
62
W
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Celta Vigo
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Osasuna
21
W
Friendly Clubs
Napoli
Carrarese
20
W
Lineups
Venezia3-5-2
  • 19S. SohmM
  • 71Kike PรฉrezM
  • 26T. Baลกiฤ‡M
  • 1F. Stankoviฤ‡G
  • 10J. YeboahF
  • 18A. HainautM
  • 25R. HalhalD
  • 5R. HapsM
  • 2M. MorenoD
  • 45A. AdamsF
  • 15Juan JesusD
Substitutes
  • 55S. Panada
  • 29L. Lauberbach
  • 21รž. Helgason
  • 96L. Montipรฒ
  • 70P. Mazzocchi
  • 7A. Rrahmani
  • 30M. Dagasso
  • 3J. Schingtienne
  • 20R. Sagrado
  • 8Lamine Dabo
  • 56K. Lisman
  • 77Toni Fernรกndez
  • 16R. Mohammed
  • 95A. Gomes
Napoli3-4-2-1
  • 6B. GilmourM
  • 13Amir RrahmaniD
  • 20L. LuccaF
  • 22G. Di LorenzoM
  • 1A. MeretG
  • 23GiovaneM
  • 31S. BeukemaD
  • 68S. LobotkaM
  • 37L. SpinazzolaM
  • 8S. McTominayM
  • 5B. BadiashileD
Substitutes
  • 21M. Politano
  • 16Rafa Marรญn
  • 19R. Hรธjlund
  • 27Alisson Santos
  • 32V. Milinkoviฤ‡-Saviฤ‡
  • 14N. Contini
  • 99A. Zambo Anguissa
  • 35Luca Marianucci
  • 16M. Olivera
  • 70N. Lang
  • 11K. De Bruyne
Timeline
  • 49'EventA. Adams
  • 54'EventL. Lucca
  • 54'EventGiovane
  • 54'EventB. Gilmour
Head-to-Head ยท summary
1
Venezia
1
Draws
4
Napoli
Previous meetings
Serie A
Venezia
Napoli
10
Serie A
Venezia
Napoli
00
Serie A
Napoli
Venezia
10
Serie A
Venezia
Napoli
02
Serie A
Napoli
Venezia
20
Serie A
Napoli
Venezia
20
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter871023:10+1322
2Lazio871016:5+1122
3AS Roma853019:6+1318
4AC Milan853016:7+918
5Como 1907852114:7+717
6Frosinone842217:13+414
7Juventus842211:8+314
8Torino841313:11+213
9Cagliari84136:9-313
10Napoli832313:10+311
11Atalanta831414:15-110
12Lecce83059:14-59
13Bologna82248:10-28
14Sassuolo822412:16-48
15Monza821515:18-37
16Genoa82156:13-77
17Udinese81169:18-94
18Fiorentina81169:19-104
19Parma81165:15-104
20Venezia81076:17-113
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Venezia vs Napoli Prediction (Oct 17)

The Venezia vs Napoli prediction for this Serie A match on October 17, 2026, at 14:00 strongly points to an away victory. Based on recent form and dominant head-to-head record, Napoli has a 60% win probability, while Venezia has just a15% chance. A draw sits at25%.

Team Form

Venezia enters this fixture in dreadful form, losing all of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, L). They were beaten at home by Lazio (0-2) and Fiorentina (2-4), and suffered away defeats at Frosinone (2-3), Udinese (1-2) in the Cup, and AC Milan (0-2). The team has struggled at both ends of the pitch, conceding13 goals in that span.

Napoli, meanwhile, shows a mixed but overall better profile. Their last five results areW, D, W, L, L. They earned a convincing3-0 home win over Frosinone, a1-1 draw away at Fiorentina, and a1-0 home win against Bologna. The two defeats came against strong opponents: Arsenal (0-1) in the Champions League and Inter Milan (2-3) away. In Serie A, Napoli has two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five league outings, indicating a competitive side.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Napoli. In the last five meetings, Napoli has won four times, with one draw, and Venezia has never beaten them. The most recent clash on March16,2025, ended0-0 at Venezia, but prior to that, Napoli won1-0 at home in December2024,2-0 away in February2022, and2-0 twice in August2021 (duplicate entry ignored). Across these games, Napoli has scored seven goals while conceding none, demonstrating clear superiority.

League Table Positions

Napoli sits9th in the Serie A standings with7 points from5 matches (2 wins,1 draw,2 losses), having scored7 goals and conceded6. Venezia, on the other hand, is not even listed in the top12 of the table, indicating they are in the relegation battle with likely fewer points. The gap in quality and confidence is significant, and Veneziaโ€™s home record does not offer comfort, as they have lost both of their home league fixtures included in the recent form data.

Win Probability: Venezia or Napoli?

After analyzing the odds and adjusting for form and head-to-head, the win probability stands as follows: Venezia15%, Draw25%, Napoli60%. The base probabilities derived from average odds (4.50 home,2.60 draw,2.05 away) gave Napoli around45% before adjustments, but Veneziaโ€™s five consecutive losses and Napoliโ€™s unbeaten run against them justify a further shift in favor of the away side. Even with the match being played at Venezia, Napoliโ€™s class should prevail.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Napoli as the clear favorite. Odds for the1X2 market vary, with home win odds ranging from3.80 to4.85, draw between2.28 and4.00, and away win between1.75 and2.20. This translates to an average price of around4.50 for Venezia,2.60 for the draw, and2.05 for Napoli. The predicted match outcome, based on all available statistics, is an away win for Napoli. Given Veneziaโ€™s abysmal form and the one-sided head-to-head, a low-scoring0-1 or0-2 victory for Napoli is the most plausible result.

Venezia vs Napoli โ€” FAQ

Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?
Napoli has a60% chance of winning, the draw is at25%, and Venezia has a15% win probability. Based on Veneziaโ€™s five-match losing streak and Napoliโ€™s four wins from the last five head-to-head encounters, Napoli is firmly expected to take all three points.
What is the win probability for Napoli?
Napoli holds a60% win probability against Venezia. This high percentage is supported by their superior league position (9th vs. bottom half), a dominant head-to-head record (4 wins,1 draw in last5), and Veneziaโ€™s dreadful recent form of five consecutive losses.
When is the Venezia vs Napoli match?
The Serie A fixture between Venezia and Napoli takes place on October17,2026. Kick-off is scheduled for14:00 local time (1:00 PM).
What are the odds for the match?
Average bookmaker odds for the1X2 market are about4.50 for a Venezia home win,2.60 for a draw, and2.05 for a Napoli away victory. These prices reflect Napoliโ€™s status as the clear favorite, albeit with a moderate margin.
What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Napoli?
In the last five meetings, Napoli has won four times, with one draw and zero Venezia wins. The most recent clash ended in a0-0 draw on March16,2025, but Napoli won the previous four encounters, scoring seven goals and conceding none.
Venezia โ€“ Napoli ยท match page