| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23:10 | +13 | 22 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | +13 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 | |
| 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
The Venezia vs Napoli prediction for this Serie A match on October 17, 2026, at 14:00 strongly points to an away victory. Based on recent form and dominant head-to-head record, Napoli has a 60% win probability, while Venezia has just a15% chance. A draw sits at25%.
Venezia enters this fixture in dreadful form, losing all of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, L). They were beaten at home by Lazio (0-2) and Fiorentina (2-4), and suffered away defeats at Frosinone (2-3), Udinese (1-2) in the Cup, and AC Milan (0-2). The team has struggled at both ends of the pitch, conceding13 goals in that span.
Napoli, meanwhile, shows a mixed but overall better profile. Their last five results areW, D, W, L, L. They earned a convincing3-0 home win over Frosinone, a1-1 draw away at Fiorentina, and a1-0 home win against Bologna. The two defeats came against strong opponents: Arsenal (0-1) in the Champions League and Inter Milan (2-3) away. In Serie A, Napoli has two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five league outings, indicating a competitive side.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Napoli. In the last five meetings, Napoli has won four times, with one draw, and Venezia has never beaten them. The most recent clash on March16,2025, ended0-0 at Venezia, but prior to that, Napoli won1-0 at home in December2024,2-0 away in February2022, and2-0 twice in August2021 (duplicate entry ignored). Across these games, Napoli has scored seven goals while conceding none, demonstrating clear superiority.
Napoli sits9th in the Serie A standings with7 points from5 matches (2 wins,1 draw,2 losses), having scored7 goals and conceded6. Venezia, on the other hand, is not even listed in the top12 of the table, indicating they are in the relegation battle with likely fewer points. The gap in quality and confidence is significant, and Veneziaโs home record does not offer comfort, as they have lost both of their home league fixtures included in the recent form data.
After analyzing the odds and adjusting for form and head-to-head, the win probability stands as follows: Venezia15%, Draw25%, Napoli60%. The base probabilities derived from average odds (4.50 home,2.60 draw,2.05 away) gave Napoli around45% before adjustments, but Veneziaโs five consecutive losses and Napoliโs unbeaten run against them justify a further shift in favor of the away side. Even with the match being played at Venezia, Napoliโs class should prevail.
Bookmakers see Napoli as the clear favorite. Odds for the1X2 market vary, with home win odds ranging from3.80 to4.85, draw between2.28 and4.00, and away win between1.75 and2.20. This translates to an average price of around4.50 for Venezia,2.60 for the draw, and2.05 for Napoli. The predicted match outcome, based on all available statistics, is an away win for Napoli. Given Veneziaโs abysmal form and the one-sided head-to-head, a low-scoring0-1 or0-2 victory for Napoli is the most plausible result.