Aalesund FK 2 - Nardo FK prediction 21 October 2026

This Aalesund FK 2 vs Nardo FK prediction covers the 3rd Division match in Norway on Oct 21 at 15:00. Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Nardo FK are the slight favorites with a 42% win probability, while Aalesund FK 2 are at 31% and the draw is 27%.

Team Form

Team form is central to this Aalesund FK 2 vs Nardo FK prediction. Aalesund FK 2 have lacked consistency. Their last five results are D, W, L, L, D. They drew 3-3 at home with Byasen on Oct 18, won 0-1 away at Melhus on Oct 12, lost 1-3 at home to NTNUI on Oct 3, lost 1-7 at home to Rosenborg 2 on Sep 25, and drew 2-2 away at Orkla on Sep 20. The heavy 1-7 defeat at home is a warning sign for this fixture.

Nardo FK arrive in strong form. Their last five results are W, W, L, W, W. They beat Herd 11-0 at home on Oct 17, won 1-3 away at Byasen on Oct 10, lost 0-1 at home to Strindheim on Oct 3, won 2-5 away at NTNUI on Sep 26, and beat Ranheim II 4-1 at home on Sep 21. Nardo FK scored 23 goals in those five matches and will test Aalesund FK 2's defence.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record in the 3rd Division is 2 wins for Aalesund FK 2, 0 draws, and 1 win for Nardo FK. The three matches: on Apr 19, 2026, Nardo FK won 5-1 at home; on Sep 14, 2025, Aalesund FK 2 won 4-1 at home; and on Apr 29, 2025, Aalesund FK 2 won 2-3 away at Nardo FK. The most recent meeting gives Nardo FK a psychological edge, but Aalesund FK 2 have the better overall H2H record.

League Table Positions

The provided league table for the 3rd Division in Norway does not list Aalesund FK 2 or Nardo FK, so exact positions and points gaps for this pair are unavailable. The table shows Asker in first place with 64 points from 24 matches, but no direct positional comparison can be made from the supplied data.

Win Probability: Aalesund FK 2 or Nardo FK?

The win probability calculation uses the 1X2 odds as a base and adjusts for team form, the head-to-head record, and the home/away factor. Aalesund FK 2 has a 31% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and Nardo FK has a 42% chance.

Nardo FK's four wins in their last five matches and the 5-1 win in the latest H2H game move them ahead of Aalesund FK 2. Aalesund FK 2 have home advantage, but recent home losses to NTNUI and Rosenborg 2 reduce their win probability.

Odds & Aalesund FK 2 vs Nardo FK Prediction

This Aalesund FK 2 vs Nardo FK prediction uses the listed 1X2 odds for the match: home 2.70, draw 2.90, away 2.62; home 2.62, draw 3.00, away 2.40; home 2.45, draw 3.00, away 2.60; home 2.15, draw 4.30, away 2.32. Two of the four listed odds sets make Nardo FK the slightly shorter away side, while two sets favour Aalesund FK 2 as the home team.

Based on the stats, the final Aalesund FK 2 vs Nardo FK prediction is Nardo FK to win. The betting tip is also Nardo FK to win, with Nardo FK's better form and the most recent H2H result outweighing Aalesund FK 2's home advantage in this 3rd Division match.