JK Narva Trans II - FA Tartu Kalev prediction 15 October 2026

The JK Narva Trans II vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction for the Esiliiga B clash on October 15, 2026, points to a dominant home win. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, JK Narva Trans II have a 60% chance of victory. The match kicks off at 17:00 local time in Estonia.

Team Form

JK Narva Trans II are flying high with five consecutive wins in the league. They most recently beat Johvi FC Phoenix 1-0 away, Tallinna JK Legion 2-1, and Tallinna Kalev II 2-1, all without conceding more than one goal. At home, they secured 1-0 wins over Tammeka Tartu Reserves and FCI Levadia Tallinn U19. The team’s attack is consistent, and their defense has been solid.

FA Tartu Kalev, on the other hand, have struggled for consistency. Their last five results read L, L, W, W, L. They lost 2-0 at home to FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 on October 10, and were thrashed 6-1 by Viljandi Tulevik on September 26. The away side did manage two wins against Parnu JK Vaprus II (4-0) and Tallinna JK Legion (2-1), but overall the form is unconvincing.

Head-to-Head Record

In 11 previous meetings, JK Narva Trans II hold a clear advantage with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. The last two encounters both ended in favor of the home team: a 1-0 away win on September 6, 2026, and a 3-2 home victory on June 18, 2026. Notably, FA Tartu Kalev have not beaten Trans II since March 14, 2026, when they won 3-0 at home. The H2H record reinforces Trans II’s strong position in this fixture.

League Table Positions

FA Tartu Kalev are currently 7th in the Esiliiga B standings with 47 points from 31 matches, having scored 72 and conceded 60. Their away record shows 6 wins and 7 losses from 13 games, indicating vulnerability on the road. JK Narva Trans II are not listed in the provided league table, so a direct comparison is unavailable, but their perfect recent form hints at a team that would be near the top.

Win Probability: JK Narva Trans II vs FA Tartu Kalev

Based on all available data—form, head-to-head, and home advantage—we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• JK Narva Trans II win: 60%
• Draw: 25%
• FA Tartu Kalev win: 15%

JK Narva Trans II’s five-match winning streak is the strongest indicator. They have not dropped points in over a month and are playing at home where they have been reliable. FA Tartu Kalev’s away form (6 wins, 7 losses) and recent defeats suggest they will find it hard to take all three points. The H2H dominance further tilts the probabilities in favor of the home side. Therefore, the most likely match outcome is a win for JK Narva Trans II.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, bookmaker odds for this Esiliiga B fixture are not available. Should odds be released, JK Narva Trans II would likely be priced as heavy favorites. Based on the stats, our final JK Narva Trans II vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction is a home victory. The combination of outstanding form, historical dominance, and the opponent’s travel woes makes Trans II the clear pick.