| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74:36 | +38 | 70 | |
| 2 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 83:53 | +30 | 65 | |
| 3 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 90:65 | +25 | 56 | |
| 4 | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 86:67 | +19 | 53 | |
| 5 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 100:67 | +33 | 50 | |
| 6 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 77:64 | +13 | 50 | |
| 7 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 48:86 | -38 | 37 | |
| 8 | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 65:82 | -17 | 30 | |
| 9 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 30:133 | -103 | 13 |
Our Tallinna Kalev 2 vs JK Narva Trans II prediction for this Esiliiga B match on Sep 19 at 16:00 is that JK Narva Trans II are the clear favorites. Based on the available data, JK Narva Trans II has a 72% win probability, while Tallinna Kalev 2 has just a 12% chance of winning, with the draw at 16%.
Tallinna Kalev 2's recent form has been inconsistent, with results of L, W, L, W, D in their last five matches. They are coming off a 4-3 away defeat to Johvi FC Phoenix on Sep 14. Their home form shows a 4-1 win against Tabasalu Jk Charma on Sep 11, but a heavy 7-0 loss at Parnu JK Vaprus 2 on Sep 06 highlights their defensive vulnerabilities.
JK Narva Trans II are in excellent form, with a record of W, W, W, W, D in their last five outings. They have kept three consecutive clean sheets, with 1-0 home wins against Tammeka Tartu Reserves on Sep 15 and FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 on Sep 12, and a 1-0 away win at FA Tartu Kalev on Sep 06. This strong defensive run makes them a formidable opponent.
The head-to-head record heavily favors the away side. In their two previous meetings, JK Narva Trans II have won both. The most recent encounter on Aug 01 saw JK Narva Trans II thrash Tallinna Kalev 2 5-0 at home. Earlier, on Jun 22, JK Narva Trans II won 3-2 away at Tallinna Kalev 2. Tallinna Kalev 2 have yet to secure a win or even a draw in this fixture.
Neither team is explicitly listed in the provided league standings, but we can infer their positions from the context of the Esiliiga B. Tallinna Kalev 2 are in 9th place with 26 points from 29 matches, having won 7, drawn 5, and lost 17. They have scored 59 goals and conceded 75. JK Narva Trans II are not in the overall standings table, but their dominant head-to-head record and superior form suggest they are competing at a higher level than their 9th-placed opponents.
Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: Tallinna Kalev 2 win 12%, draw 16%, and JK Narva Trans II win 72%. This is based on the implied probabilities from the best available odds (away win at 1.33), adjusted for JK Narva Trans II's perfect head-to-head record (2 wins from 2), their current four-match winning streak, and Tallinna Kalev 2's poor league position and inconsistent form. The data strongly points to an away victory.
Bookmakers see JK Narva Trans II as the strong favorite. The odds for an away win are as short as 1.33, while a home win for Tallinna Kalev 2 is priced at 5.50 and the draw at 5.50. Based on the stats, form, and head-to-head dominance, the prediction is an away win for JK Narva Trans II. Their solid defense, having not conceded in their last three matches, should be key against a Tallinna Kalev 2 side that has struggled for consistency.