| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.50 | 4.60 | 1.98 | |
| 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.91 | |
| 13.50 | 5.55 | 1.30 | |
| 10.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 | |
| 11.50 | 4.85 | 1.20 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 89:23 | +66 | 84 | |
| 2 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 53:39 | +14 | 60 | |
| 3 | 34 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 64:49 | +15 | 58 | |
| 4 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 56:34 | +22 | 54 | |
| 5 | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 47:52 | -5 | 50 | |
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49:50 | -1 | 47 | |
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 45:67 | -22 | 36 | |
| 8 | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 | |
| 9 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | 54:76 | -22 | 34 | |
| 10 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 26:75 | -49 | 20 |
The JK Narva Trans vs Nomme United prediction points toward an away victory in this Meistriliiga clash on Oct 27 at 16:00. Based on the latest odds, league form, and head-to-head record, Nomme United enter the match as the favorite with a 44% win probability, while JK Narva Trans have a 32% chance of winning and the draw stands at 24%.
JK Narva Trans are struggling for consistency, with no wins in their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent run reads: L, L, L, D, D. The most recent result was a heavy 5-1 defeat away at Tammeka Tartu on Oct 23. A 2-1 loss at Paide Linnameeskond and a 1-0 home reverse against Kuressaare preceded draws against Parnu JK Vaprus (2-2) and Levadia Tallinn (1-1).
Nomme United have shown signs of life with back-to-back home wins: 4-2 against Parnu JK Vaprus on Oct 23 and 3-0 against JK Nomme Kalju on Oct 17. However, their away form is a concern โ they lost their last three road games at Harju JK Laagri (2-0), Tammeka Tartu (4-0), and Paide Linnameeskond (3-1).
Recent meetings favor Nomme United, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters. JK Narva Trans have 2 victories, and there have been no draws. In the 2026 Meistriliiga season, Nomme United won 2-1 away on Jun 13, and JK Narva Trans claimed a 2-1 away win on Jul 31. A 5-1 home win for Nomme United on Apr 11 underlines their attacking threat in this fixture. The only friendly meeting, on Jan 24, 2026, ended 4-3 to Nomme United.
In the Meistriliiga overall standings, Nomme United sit 9th with 34 points from 33 matches (11 wins, 1 draw, 21 defeats). JK Narva Trans are bottom in 10th with just 20 points (5 wins, 5 draws, 23 losses). The gap is 14 points. Nomme United have also scored almost twice as many goals (54 vs 26) and conceded a comparable number (76 vs 75). On the road, Nomme United are 7th in the away table with 16 points from 16 games.
Using the inverse of the odds (normalized to remove the bookmaker margin), adjusted for recent form and league positions, the probabilities are as follows: JK Narva Trans win โ 32%, draw โ 24%, Nomme United win โ 44%. The odds make Nomme United the clear favorite, and their superior head-to-head record and higher league position support this. However, their poor away form and JK Narva Transโs home advantage (though minimal based on their home results) keep the draw and a home upset in play.
Bookmakers see Nomme United as the favorite, with away win odds as short as 1.78 and averaging around 2.00 across the market. The home win odds range from 3.50 to 4.12, and the draw is priced between 2.42 and 4.45. Based on the stats, a narrow victory for Nomme United is the most likely outcome, but the volatility of both defenses means a draw cannot be ruled out.