Nassaji Mazandaran - Kheybar Khorramabad prediction 7 September 2026

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Kheybar Khorramabad prediction: The Pro League match on September 7, 2026, sees Kheybar Khorramabad as the favourite with a 40% win probability. The game kicks off at 15:30 UTC and bookmakers are backing the away side to claim the points.

Team Form

Nassaji Mazandaran have struggled in their last five matches, recording one win, one draw, and three defeats. Their sole victory came away to Malavan (1-0) on Sep 02. Since then they lost at home to Shams Azar Qazvin (0-2) and Esteghlal Tehran (0-1), drew 1-1 at Esteghlal Khuzestan, and lost 1-0 at Gol Gohar. The home side has taken just four points from a possible 15.

Kheybar Khorramabad are in slightly better shape with one win, three draws and one loss. They beat Foolad Khuzestan 2-0 at home on Sep 02, drew 2-2 at Aluminium Arak, lost 2-3 at home to Paykan, and drew 1-1 at Mes Shahre Babak and 1-1 at home to Fajr Sepasi. The away team has collected six points from the last five games.

Head-to-Head Record

Kheybar Khorramabad have dominated this fixture historically. In five previous meetings, Kheybar won four times, with one draw, and Nassaji Mazandaran are yet to record a win. The most recent Pro League clash on Apr 17, 2025, ended 1-0 to Kheybar. The only draw was a 0-0 stalemate in December 2024. Earlier encounters in the Azadegan League all ended in 6-1 victories for Kheybar.

League Table Positions

Kheybar Khorramabad sit 9th in the Pro League table with 6 points from 5 matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). Nassaji Mazandaran are outside the top 12, having collected fewer points. The visitors are also ranked 8th in the home standings, while Nassaji are absent from the top 12 away rankings. The table gap reinforces the away side’s advantage.

Win Probability: Nassaji Mazandaran or Kheybar Khorramabad?

Based on odds, form, head-to-head and table positions, Nassaji Mazandaran has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Kheybar Khorramabad has a 40% chance. The odds implied a 37.5% away win probability, but Kheybar’s historical dominance and superior recent form push it to 40%. Nassaji’s poor home record (two losses in their last three home games) reduces their chances, while the draw remains a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds are: Home win 2.90, Draw 2.92, Away win 2.42. Bookmakers clearly see Kheybar Khorramabad as the favourite. Based on the stats, Kheybar Khorramabad is more likely to win, but a draw is a strong possibility. Our prediction aligns with the probabilities: the away side has the edge, but the match could go either way.