Goias GO - Nautico PE prediction 19 October 2026

The Goias GO vs Nautico PE prediction for this Serie B match on Oct 19 shows Goias GO as the clear favorite. Based on our win probability calculation, Goias GO has a 58% chance of winning, the draw sits at 23%, and Nautico PE has a 19% chance. The match kicks off at 23:30.

Team Form

Goias GO have shown strong form recently, winning three of their last five matches. Their results read W, W, L, L, W. In their latest outing on Oct 11, they secured an impressive 2-0 away victory against Operario PR. Before that, on Oct 7, they beat Athletic Club MG 2-1 at home. Their two recent defeats came on the road against Gremio Novorizontino SP (0-3) and at home to Atletico Goianiense GO (0-1).

Nautico PE are struggling, with form reading L, L, D, W, L from their last five. They have lost three of those matches, including back-to-back home defeats without scoring—0-2 against Vila Nova GO on Oct 11 and 0-2 against Gremio Novorizontino SP on Oct 8. Their only win in this period was a 3-1 home victory over Sport Recife PE on Sep 26. They’ve conceded 9 goals in their last 5 games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams slightly favors Goias GO. In their last 7 meetings, Goias GO have won 4, while Nautico PE have won 3, with no draws recorded. The most recent clash was on Jun 28 this season, where Goias GO beat Nautico PE 1-0 away from home. This gives Goias GO a psychological edge and a recent reference point for success in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Goias GO sit 9th in the Serie B table with 48 points from 33 matches (14 wins, 6 draws, 13 losses). They have scored 34 goals and conceded 40. Nautico PE are not currently in the top 12 of the overall standings list provided, indicating a lower league position and a points total outside the top half. This gap in the table further reinforces Goias GO's status as the stronger side coming into this match.

Win Probability: Goias GO or Nautico PE?

After analyzing the available odds, team form, and league standings, Goias GO has a 58% chance of winning this match, the draw has a 23% probability, and Nautico PE has a 19% chance. We calculated these figures by taking the inverse of the average odds, normalizing them to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusting for Goias GO's superior recent form (3 wins in 5 vs 1 win in 5 for Nautico PE), their higher league position, and home advantage. Nautico PE's poor defensive record on the road and overall struggles heavily decrease their likelihood of an away win. Goias GO are the clear favorites to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds heavily favor Goias GO. The average 1X2 market prices are: a home win at 1.72, a draw around 3.13, and an away win at 4.50. These odds imply a high probability for a home victory, which aligns with our analysis. This match prediction points to a home win for Goias GO. Based on the stats, recent H2H, and the gulf in form, expecting Goias GO to secure the win is the most logical outcome.