Nautico PE - Vila Nova GO prediction 11 October 2026
Nautico PE
Vila Nova GO
Juventude RSNautico PEGoias GONautico PENautico PEVila Nova GONautico PEGremio Novorizontino SPFortaleza CENautico PENautico PESport Recife PECuiaba MTNautico PENautico PEOperario PRAmerica Mineiro MGNautico PENautico PEBotafogo SPNautico PEAthletic Club MGSao Bernardo SPNautico PENautico PECeara CEPonte Preta SPNautico PENautico PEAtletico Goianiense GOSao Bernardo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOGremio Novorizontino SPNautico PEVila Nova GOVila Nova GOCuiaba MTBotafogo SPVila Nova GOVila Nova GOLondrina PRVila Nova GOAmerica Mineiro MGAvai SCVila Nova GOVila Nova GOGoias GOAthletic Club MGVila Nova GOVila Nova GOCeara CEOperario PRVila Nova GOVila Nova GOPonte Preta SPAtletico Goianiense GOVila Nova GOVila Nova GOSport Recife PENautico PEVila Nova GOVila Nova GONautico PENautico PEVila Nova GONautico PEVila Nova GOVila Nova GONautico PEVila Nova GONautico PEVila Nova GONautico PENautico PEVila Nova GO| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gremio Novorizontino SP | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 | Vila Nova GO | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza CE | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 |
| 5 |  Criciuma SC | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife PE | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 |  Goias GO | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 |  Sao Bernardo SP | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba MT | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico PE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara CE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina PR | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro MG | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta SP | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 |
Nautico PE vs Vila Nova GO Prediction (Oct 11)
The Nautico PE vs Vila Nova GO prediction for October 11, 2026, in Brazil's Serie B points to an away win. Based on our analysis of recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Vila Nova GO has a 45% chance of winning, while Nautico PE holds a 30% probability and the draw sits at 25%.
Team Form
Nautico PE's last five matches show inconsistency: a 1-1 draw at Fortaleza CE, a 3-1 home win over Sport Recife PE, a 0-3 loss at Cuiaba MT, a 3-3 home draw with Operario PR, and a 1-2 defeat at America Mineiro MG. That run includes just one victory, two draws, and two defeats.
Vila Nova GO, in contrast, are flying. Their last five outings: a 1-0 win at Botafogo SP, a 2-0 home win over Londrina PR, a 1-0 home win against America Mineiro MG, a 1-1 draw at Avai SC, and a 2-0 home win over Goias GO. That's four wins and one draw, with four clean sheets.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head numbers heavily favour Vila Nova GO. In seven previous meetings, Vila Nova have won five, Nautico PE two, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash, on June 20, 2026, ended Vila Nova GO 4-3 Nautico PE in Serie B. The last time Nautico PE beat Vila Nova at home was in a cup match back in March 2023.
League Table Positions
Vila Nova GO sit 2nd in the Serie B table with 57 points from 31 games (17 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses). Nautico PE are outside the top 12, highlighting a significant gap in performance this season. Vila Nova also boast the best home record in the league, though this match is away, where they have been solid if not spectacular.
Win Probability: Nautico PE or Vila Nova GO?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Nautico PE 30%, Draw 25%, Vila Nova GO 45%. The base odds implied a closer contest, but adjusting for Vila Nova's dominant form (four wins in five), their superior H2H record (5 wins in 7), and the league table gap, the away side emerges as the clear favourite. Nautico PE's home advantage is offset by their poor recent results.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' pre-match odds show a tight spread: Nautico PE win around 2.12โ2.25, the draw at 2.05โ3.10, and a Vila Nova GO victory at 3.30โ3.60. While the market initially leans towards a home result, our deeper analysis of form and head-to-head data suggests Vila Nova GO are the value pick. Based on the stats, we predict an away win for Vila Nova GO.
Nautico PE vs Vila Nova GO โ FAQ
- Who will win Nautico PE vs Vila Nova GO?
- Vila Nova GO are the more likely winners with a 45% probability. Nautico PE have a 30% chance, and the draw is rated at 25%. This is based on Vila Nova's excellent recent form, dominant head-to-head record, and much higher league position.
- What is the win probability for Vila Nova GO?
- Vila Nova GO have a 45% chance of winning the match. This probability reflects their four wins in the last five games, five wins in seven head-to-head meetings, and their 2nd-place standing in Serie B compared to Nautico PE outside the top 12.
- When is the Nautico PE vs Vila Nova GO match?
- The match is scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 21:30 local time. It is a Serie B fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for Nautico PE vs Vila Nova GO?
- Pre-match odds from various bookmakers show a home win for Nautico PE priced between 2.12 and 2.25, a draw between 2.05 and 3.10, and an away win for Vila Nova GO between 3.30 and 3.60.
- What is the head-to-head record between Nautico PE and Vila Nova GO?
- In seven previous meetings, Vila Nova GO have won five times and Nautico PE twice, with no draws. The most recent encounter, in June 2026, ended in a 4-3 victory for Vila Nova GO.