Apollon Limassol - Nea Salamis prediction 17 October 2026
Apollon Limassol
Nea Salamis
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Larnaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 16 |
| 2 | Apollon Limassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  AEL Limassol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 |  Omonia Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 12 |
| 5 |  Pafos FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aris | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  APOEL Nicosia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Als Omonia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis Famagusta | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Nea Salamis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 |  Krasava ENY Ypsonas FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
| 14 |  Karmiotissa Polemidion | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 3 |
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis Prediction (Oct 17, 17:00)
Our Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis prediction for the 1st Division match on October 17, 2026 (17:00 kick-off) points to a home win with a 70% probability. Apollon Limassol are strong favourites based on the odds, league position, and home form.
Team Form
Apollon Limassol (Home)
Last 5 league results: W, D, D, W, W (the friendly loss is excluded). They beat Krasava ENY Ypsonas 3-1 away, drew 2-2 with APOEL Nicosia, drew 0-0 at Omonia Nicosia, and defeated Anorthosis Famagusta 3-1 at home. Apollon are unbeaten in the league (2 wins, 3 draws) and have scored 10 goals in 5 matches.
Nea Salamis (Away)
Last 5 league results: L, W, L, L, D. They lost 2-1 at APOEL Nicosia, won 3-0 at home against Anorthosis, lost 2-1 at AEL Limassol, lost 4-1 at home to AEK Larnaca, and drew 3-3 at Olympiakos Nicosia. With only 1 win in 5, their away form is weak (L, L, D in their last three road trips).
Head-to-Head Record
Overall: Apollon Limassol lead the head-to-head with 13 wins, 7 draws, and 5 Nea Salamis wins. The last 5 meetings (all competitions):
- Aug 2026 (Friendly): Nea Salamis 3-1 Apollon
- Mar 2025 (1st Division): Apollon 1-1 Nea Salamis
- Dec 2024 (1st Division): Nea Salamis 1-0 Apollon
- Mar 2024 (1st Division): Apollon 2-0 Nea Salamis
- Dec 2023 (1st Division): Apollon 0-2 Nea Salamis
Despite the historical edge, recent league H2H has been evenly split (2 Apollon wins, 2 Nea Salamis wins, 1 draw in the last 5 competitive meetings).
League Table Positions
Apollon Limassol are 5th with 9 points from 5 matches (2W, 3D, 0L, goals 10:6). Nea Salamis stand 11th with 4 points (1W, 1D, 3L, goals 9:11). At home, Apollon are 4th (1W,1D,0L, 5:3 goals); Nea Salamis are outside the top 8 away (2 games,1W,0D,1L, 4:4 goals but considered weaker on the road). The gap in points and overall stability clearly favours the home side.
Win Probability: Apollon Limassol or Nea Salamis?
Apollon Limassol win: 70%
Draw: 20%
Nea Salamis win: 10%
Bookmaker odds imply a home win probability around 69% after removing the margin. We adjust slightly upward to 70% because of Apollonโs unbeaten league start, solid home form, and Nea Salamisโs recent away struggles (only 1 point from their last 3 away league games). The draw probability is 20% โ Apollon have drawn 3 of their 5 league matches, but Nea Salamis rarely share the points on the road. Nea Salamisโs 10% chance reflects their occasional H2H upsets, but the overall picture firmly points to an Apollon victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best 1X2 odds available: Apollon Limassol win at 1.33, draw 4.75, Nea Salamis win 8.00. Bookmakers see Apollon as the clear favourite. Based on the stats, an Apollon Limassol home win is the most likely outcome, potentially with over 2.5 goals given both teamsโ scoring records (Apollon 10 goals in 5 matches, Nea Salamis 9).
Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis โ FAQ
- Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis?
- Apollon Limassol have a 70% chance of winning, while Nea Salamis have only a 10% chance. The draw probability is 20%. Based on the stats, Apollon are the likely winners.
- What is the win probability for Apollon Limassol?
- Apollon Limassol have a 70% win probability. This is based on their 1.33 odds, unbeaten league record, strong home form, and the gap in the league table.
- When is the Apollon Limassol vs Nea Salamis match?
- The match is on October 17, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is part of the Cyprus 1st Division.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds show Apollon Limassol win at1.33, a draw at4.75, and a Nea Salamis win at8.00.
- What is the head-to-head record between Apollon Limassol and Nea Salamis?
- In 25 previous meetings, Apollon Limassol have won 13, there have been7 draws, and Nea Salamis have won5. Recent league H2H matches have been more balanced.