NEC Bugolobi - Ntugasaze prediction 27 October 2026
NEC Bugolobi
Ntugasaze
Bul FCNEC BugolobiKigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp)NEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiExpress FCNEC BugolobiURA FCMbarara City FCNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiLugazi MunicipalKampala Capital City AuthorityNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiSC VillaKitara FCNEC BugolobiBul FCNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiMbarara City FCExpress FCNEC BugolobiNEC BugolobiMaroonsNEC BugolobiURA FCNEC BugolobiVipers SCNtugasazeKampala Capital City AuthorityNtugasazeMbarara City FCVipers SCNtugasazeBul FCNtugasazeNtugasazeMaroonsBlacks Power/Bukedea TCNtugasazeCatda FCNtugasazeNtugasazePaidha Black AngelsNtugasazeExpress FCNtugasazeKataka FCIganga United FCNtugasazeNtugasazeCatda FCBlacks Power/Bukedea TCNtugasazeNtugasazeMbale Heroes FCNtugasazeYoung Elephants| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | 13.00 | 9.00 | |
| 1.02 | 26.00 | 34.33 | |
| 1.01 | 9.60 | 14.00 | |
| 1.00 | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bul FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Entebbe | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power/Bukedea TC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 |  Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Kampala Capital City Authority | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi Municipal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi Homeboys (Kabale Sharp) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
NEC Bugolobi vs Ntugasaze Prediction (Oct 27)
NEC Bugolobi vs Ntugasaze prediction for the Uganda Premier League match on Oct 27 at 13:00 shows the home side as a clear favorite. Based on odds, form, and league positions, NEC Bugolobi has a 70% win probability, while Ntugasaze sits at just 10%.
Team Form
NEC Bugolobi come into this match with mixed but respectable results. The last five outings read L-W-D-W-D:
- Oct 21: Bul FC 2โ1 NEC Bugolobi (away loss)
- Oct 14: Kigezi Homeboys 0โ2 NEC Bugolobi (away win)
- Oct 8: NEC Bugolobi 0โ0 Express FC (home draw)
- Sep 15: NEC Bugolobi 4โ1 URA FC (home win)
- Sep 11: Mbarara City FC 0โ0 NEC Bugolobi (away draw)
At home this season, NEC are unbeaten with two wins and one draw, scoring 7 goals against only 2 conceded.
Ntugasazeโs form is poor: L-W-L-L-L in their last five. They have suffered heavy defeats:
- Oct 13: Ntugasaze 0โ2 Kampala Capital City Authority (home loss)
- Oct 7: Ntugasaze 1โ0 Mbarara City FC (home win)
- Sep 19: Vipers SC 3โ0 Ntugasaze (away loss)
- Sep 8: Bul FC 4โ1 Ntugasaze (away loss)
- Sep 2: Ntugasaze 1โ3 Maroons (home loss)
In those five matches, Ntugasaze have conceded 12 goals and scored only 3, leaking goals in every game except one.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no previous head-to-head record between NEC Bugolobi and Ntugasaze. No prior meetings exist in the Uganda Premier League, so the prediction relies solely on current form and league standings.
League Table Positions
NEC Bugolobi are 3rd in the Uganda Premier League table with 14 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Their goal difference of 12-4 highlights a solid defense. In the home standings, they are 4th with 7 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 7 goals scored, 2 conceded).
Ntugasaze do not appear in the top 12 of the league table, indicating they are much lower ranked. Their away record is especially weak โ two recorded away fixtures both ended in defeats with zero goals scored and 7 conceded.
Win Probability: NEC Bugolobi or Ntugasaze?
Using bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for team form and league positions, we assign the following probabilities: NEC Bugolobi win 70%, draw 20%, Ntugasaze win 10%. The implied odds market average gave NEC ~67%, draw ~24%, Ntugasaze ~9%, but home advantage and the staggering gap in league rank push the home win chance to 70%. Ntugasazeโs dismal away form further shrinks their chance to just 10%. NEC Bugolobi are the clear favorites to win this match.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers price NEC Bugolobi as heavy favorites. The 1X2 odds vary: home win 1.22โ1.27, draw 2.50โ5.35, away win 8.00โ13.50. Such odds reflect the large gap in quality.
Based on the stats, the match prediction is a comfortable home victory for NEC Bugolobi. Ntugasazeโs defensive vulnerabilities and poor away form are likely to be exploited by a solid NEC side chasing top spots.
NEC Bugolobi vs Ntugasaze โ FAQ
- Who will win NEC Bugolobi vs Ntugasaze?
- NEC Bugolobi are the strong favorites to win this Uganda Premier League match. Our probability model gives them a 70% chance of victory, a 20% chance of a draw, and only a 10% chance to Ntugasaze.
- What is the win probability for NEC Bugolobi?
- The win probability for NEC Bugolobi is 70%. This high percentage reflects their 3rd-place league position, an unbeaten home record, and Ntugasazeโs poor away results this season.
- When is the NEC Bugolobi vs Ntugasaze match?
- The match kicks off on Oct 27 at 13:00 local time. It is a fixture in the Uganda Premier League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds across bookmakers show NEC Bugolobi as heavy favorites: home win odds range from 1.22 to 1.27, draw odds from 2.50 to 5.35, and away win odds from 8.00 to 13.50.
- How have NEC Bugolobi performed recently?
- In their last five matches, NEC Bugolobi have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. They are unbeaten at home during that stretch, scoring 7 goals and conceding only 2 across three home games.