Necaxa II - Cefor San Luis prediction 2 October 2026

Necaxa II vs Cefor San Luis prediction for the Liga TDP match on Oct 2, 2026. Our analysis gives Necaxa II a 45% win probability, the draw 25%, and Cefor San Luis 30%. The match kicks off at 18:00 local time.

Team Form

Necaxa II come into this match with three wins from their last five outings (W-W-L-L-W). Their most recent result was a dominant 4-0 home victory over Leon GEN on Apr 14. Prior to that, they secured a 2-1 away win at Pabellon. However, they suffered back-to-back home defeats against Mineros Zacatecas Cdmx (0-2) and Fut-Car (1-2) in March. At home, Necaxa II have been inconsistent, with two wins and two losses in their last four at this venue.

Cefor San Luis have struggled for consistency, with just one win in their last five matches (D-L-L-W-L). Their only victory in that run was a 4-2 away win at Necaxa II back in October 2025. Since then, they have lost three and drawn one of their four away games, including a 1-1 draw at Atletico Leones in their most recent fixture. Their away form is a concern, with only one win in the last five on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, on Oct 24, 2025. In that Liga TDP clash, Cefor San Luis came away with a 4-2 victory at Necaxa II. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge, but it is worth noting that it was almost a year ago and both squads have changed since then.

Win Probability: Necaxa II or Cefor San Luis?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Necaxa II win: 45%
• Draw: 25%
• Cefor San Luis win: 30%

Necaxa II are given the highest chance because of their superior recent form (three wins in five) and the advantage of playing at home. Cefor San Luis have a poor away record lately, with only one win in their last five road trips. However, that sole away win came at this very ground, which keeps their chances alive. The draw is a realistic outcome given the inconsistency of both teams.

Odds & Match Prediction

At the time of writing, bookmakers have not yet released odds for this Liga TDP fixture. Once the betting markets open, we expect Necaxa II to be priced as the favorites. Our prediction, based on the stats, is a home win for Necaxa II, but with a note of caution: Cefor San Luis have already shown they can score goals here. The only previous meeting produced six goals, so an over 2.5 goals bet could be worth considering. A 2-1 scoreline in favor of the hosts seems a plausible outcome.