Bury Town - Needham Market prediction 13 October 2026
Bury Town
Needham Market
Hitchin TownBury TownReal BedfordBury TownBury TownStourbridgeBury TownNeedham MarketAlvechurchBury TownSpalding UnitedBury TownBury TownSpalding UnitedBishops StortfordBury TownBury TownHitchin TownGorlestonBury TownBromsgrove SportingBury TownBury TownLeistonLeighton TownBury TownBury TownLeamingtonStratford TownBury TownNeedham MarketWingate & FinchleyNeedham MarketBishops StortfordLeamingtonNeedham MarketBury TownNeedham MarketNeedham MarketAnstey NomadsRushall OlympicNeedham MarketNeedham MarketStamfordBraintree TownNeedham MarketNeedham MarketBraintree TownNeedham MarketWorcester CityNeedham MarketStanway RoversNeedham MarketPeterborough SportsStratford TownNeedham MarketNeedham MarketHalesowen FCAlvechurchNeedham MarketBury TownNeedham MarketBury TownNeedham MarketNeedham MarketBury TownBury TownNeedham MarketNeedham MarketBury Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 |  Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth Parkway | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 23 |
| 6 |  Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:25 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Wimborne Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 18 |
| 11 |  Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Berkhamsted | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Basingstoke Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 14 |
| 15 |  Yate Town | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 |  Evesham United | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 |  Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19:34 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 |  Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 21 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 |  Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:25 | -14 | 9 |
Bury Town vs Needham Market Prediction (Oct 13)
Our Bury Town vs Needham Market prediction for the Southern League Premier Division match on October 13, 2026, at 19:45 leans towards a home win. Based on available odds and recent form, Bury Town has a 42% chance of winning, while Needham Market sits at 32%, with a draw probability of 26%.
Team Form
Bury Town comes into this match with strong momentum, having won three of their last five matches (W, L, D, W, W). Their most recent result was a 1-0 away victory against Alvechurch on October 10. They also secured a 2-1 win at Bishops Stortford and a 1-0 home win against Hitchin Town. The only recent setback was a 4-0 defeat at Spalding United in the FA Cup.
Needham Market's form is less consistent (D, L, W, L, D). They drew 1-1 at home with Anstey Nomads on October 10 and suffered a 5-3 loss at Rushall Olympic. A bright spot was a 4-0 home win against Stamford, but they also lost 3-0 at Braintree Town in the FA Cup.
Head-to-Head Record
In their last four meetings, Needham Market holds a slight edge with 2 wins to Bury Town's 1, along with 1 draw. The most recent clash on February 21, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw at Bury Town. Earlier in the 2025/26 season, Needham Market won 4-2 at home. The older friendlies from 2021 and 2020 saw a home win for each side.
League Table Positions
Neither team appears in the provided top-12 overall standings, suggesting both are in the lower half of the Southern League Premier Division table. The available home and away standings also do not feature Bury Town or Needham Market, indicating they have struggled to accumulate points compared to the league's top sides.
Win Probability: Bury Town or Needham Market?
Bury Town has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Needham Market has a 32% chance. These probabilities are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home: 2.58, draw: 2.45, away: 3.13), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for Bury Town's superior recent form (3 wins in 5 vs. 1 win in 5) and home advantage. Despite Needham Market's slightly better historical H2H record, current momentum favors the home side.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a relatively open contest. The best available odds are 2.62 for a Bury Town win, 2.20 for the draw, and 2.75 for a Needham Market away victory. Based on the stats, the value may lie with the home win, but the draw odds are notably short, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. Our Bury Town vs Needham Market prediction is a home win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.
Bury Town vs Needham Market โ FAQ
- Who will win Bury Town vs Needham Market?
- Based on our analysis, Bury Town has a 42% chance of winning, while Needham Market has a 32% chance. The draw is rated at 26%. Bury Town's stronger recent form gives them a slight edge.
- What is the win probability for Bury Town?
- Bury Town has a 42% win probability. This is based on their three wins in the last five matches and home advantage, adjusted from the average bookmaker odds of 2.58 for a home victory.
- When is the Bury Town vs Needham Market match?
- The match is scheduled for October 13, 2026, with a kick-off time of 19:45 local time. It is a Southern League Premier Division fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The available pre-match odds include a best price of 2.62 for a Bury Town win, 2.20 for the draw, and 2.75 for a Needham Market win. Odds vary slightly across bookmakers.