Neftchi - Xorazm FK Urganch prediction 7 October 2026
Neftchi
Xorazm FK UrganchNeftchi
Al Ittihad JeddahPakhtakorNeftchiNeftchiLokomotiv Farm TashkentFK Kokand 1912NeftchiAl Nassr RiyadhNeftchiNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchLokomotiv Farm TashkentNeftchiNeftchiAl Quwa Al JawiyaNeftchiSurkhon TermezNasaf QarshiNeftchiNeftchiPakhtakorNeftchiSogdianaFK BuxoroNeftchiAndijanNeftchiNeftchiQizilqum ZarafshonXorazm FK UrganchNavbahor NamanganSurkhon TermezXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchQizilqum ZarafshonAGMK OlmaliqXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchSogdianaAGMK OlmaliqXorazm FK UrganchAndijanXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchLokomotiv Farm TashkentDinamo SamarqandXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchMashal MuborakNavbahor NamanganXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchSurkhon TermezPakhtakorXorazm FK UrganchSogdianaXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiXorazm FK Urganch| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 59:22 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 44:25 | +19 | 53 |
| 3 |  Navbahor Namangan | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 44:25 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |  AGMK Olmaliq | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36:32 | +4 | 42 |
| 5 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:23 | +14 | 41 |
| 6 |  FK Buxoro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 37:32 | +5 | 41 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40:31 | +9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Qizilqum Zarafshon | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 34 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 |  Sogdiana | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 |  Surkhon Termez | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 |  Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  FK Kokand 1912 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Xorazm FK Urganch | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 |  Mashal Muborak | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 12:50 | -38 | 4 |
Neftchi vs Xorazm FK Urganch Prediction (Oct 7)
Neftchi vs Xorazm FK Urganch prediction for the Super League match on October 7, 2026. Based on the stats, Neftchi has a 78% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Xorazm FK Urganch has a 7% chance.
Team Form
Neftchi come into this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. They defeated Lokomotiv Farm Tashkent 1-0 away, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 at home, Surkhon Termez 2-1 at home, and Pakhtakor 1-0 at home in the Cup. The only blip was a 6-2 away loss to Nasaf Qarshi. Overall, Neftchi have been solid, especially at home where they have won their last three.
Xorazm FK Urganch, on the other hand, are struggling. They have lost four of their last five matches and drawn one. They suffered a 3-1 home loss to Qizilqum Zarafshon, a 2-1 away loss to AGMK Olmaliq in the Cup, a 0-0 home draw with Sogdiana, and back-to-back 1-0 away defeats to AGMK Olmaliq and Andijan. The team has failed to score in three of those five games, highlighting their attacking woes.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Neftchi. In 13 previous meetings, Neftchi have won 7, Xorazm FK Urganch have won 6, and there have been no draws. Looking at the last five encounters, Neftchi have won four, including a 2-0 away victory in April 2026 and a 3-1 home win in the Cup in 2021. Xorazm's only recent win was a 2-0 home victory in November 2025. The overall goal difference in these five matches is 10-3 in Neftchi's favor.
League Table Positions
Neftchi are currently top of the Super League with 51 points from 22 matches (16 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 50 goals and conceded just 17. At home, they are the strongest side, with 9 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 28 and conceding only 6. Xorazm FK Urganch are not in the top 12 of the standings, indicating they are in the lower half of the table. The gap in quality is evident.
Win Probability: Neftchi or Xorazm FK Urganch?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Neftchi has a 78% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Xorazm FK Urganch has a 7% chance. The bookmaker odds (1.22 home win) implied a 73% probability for Neftchi, but their dominant form and home advantage push that figure higher. Xorazm's poor recent results and lowly league position make an away win highly unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds for this match are: Neftchi win at 1.22, draw at 5.25, and Xorazm FK Urganch win at 9.00. Bookmakers clearly see Neftchi as the overwhelming favorite. Our prediction, based on all the stats, is a comfortable home win for Neftchi. The value might be limited at such short odds, but the probability strongly supports a Neftchi victory.
Neftchi vs Xorazm FK Urganch โ FAQ
- Who will win Neftchi vs Xorazm FK Urganch?
- Neftchi are the strong favorites to win, with a 78% probability. Xorazm FK Urganch have only a 7% chance, and the draw is at 15%. Based on form and head-to-head, Neftchi should secure the victory.
- What is the win probability for Neftchi?
- Neftchi have a 78% chance of winning this match. This is based on bookmaker odds, their top position in the league, excellent home form, and Xorazm's poor recent results.
- When is the Neftchi vs Xorazm FK Urganch match?
- The match is scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 15:00 local time (UTC+1). It is a Super League fixture in Uzbekistan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for a Neftchi win are as low as 1.22, the draw is priced at 5.25, and an away win for Xorazm FK Urganch is at 9.00. These odds reflect Neftchi's strong favorite status.