FK Kauno Zalgiris B - Neptunas Klaipeda prediction 30 October 2026

The FK Kauno Zalgiris B vs Neptunas Klaipeda prediction for the 1 Lyga match on Oct 30, 2026, at 17:00 favors the away side. Based on our win probability calculation, Neptunas Klaipeda has a 45% chance of winning, while FK Kauno Zalgiris B sits at 30%, with the draw at 25%. Bookmakers and recent form point toward Neptunas Klaipeda as the more likely winner.

Team Form

FK Kauno Zalgiris B enters this match with inconsistent form, recording two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 away victory against Dainava Alytus on Oct 25, but they suffered a 0-2 home defeat to FK Transinvest B prior to that. The team's defense has been a concern, conceding 10 goals in these five games.

Neptunas Klaipeda's recent form is even more concerning, with four losses and just one win in their last five matches. They lost at home to Ekranas Panevezio (0-2) and Be1 NFA Kaunas (0-2) before that. However, their 2-0 win against Lietava Jonava shows they can compete. They have scored only 3 goals in their last five, indicating a serious attacking struggle.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Neptunas Klaipeda, who have won 5 of the last 7 meetings, compared to just 2 wins for FK Kauno Zalgiris B, with zero draws. The most recent clash on Jun 18 saw Neptunas Klaipeda win 2-1 at home. Notable past results include a 3-1 away win for Neptunas on Jun 17, 2025, and a dominant 5-1 home victory for FK Kauno Zalgiris B back in Nov 2023. The historical data clearly indicates Neptunas Klaipeda's upper hand in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall 1 Lyga standings, Neptunas Klaipeda sits 8th with 44 points from 28 matches (14 wins, 2 draws, 12 losses). FK Kauno Zalgiris B is 12th with only 26 points from 28 matches (8 wins, 2 draws, 18 losses), a significant 18-point gap between the sides. The away table also favors Neptunas, who are 5th with 20 points from 14 away games, while FK Kauno Zalgiris B's home form is not ranked in the top 8 of the home standings, having won just 8 of 14 home matches overall.

Win Probability: FK Kauno Zalgiris B or Neptunas Klaipeda?

FK Kauno Zalgiris B has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Neptunas Klaipeda has a 45% chance. These probabilities are derived from the odds (3.75 home, 2.35 draw, 2.28 away), which give an implied probability baseline, then adjusted for Neptunas Klaipeda's superior head-to-head record (5 wins in 7 meetings) and a better league position (+18 points difference). Although Neptunas Klaipeda's recent form is poor, their historical dominance in this matchup and FK Kauno Zalgiris B's defensive vulnerabilities tilt the probability in the away team's favor.

Odds & Match Prediction

The match odds from bookmakers show Neptunas Klaipeda as the favorite to win at 2.28, followed by the draw at 2.35, and a FK Kauno Zalgiris B victory at 3.75. Our match prediction aligns with the bookmakers: based on the stats, head-to-head superiority and the league table gap, Neptunas Klaipeda is more likely to secure the win, though their recent poor form adds an element of risk. A draw is also a significant possibility given both teams' struggles.