Carolina Core FC - New England Revolution II prediction 5 September 2026

Carolina Core FC vs New England Revolution II prediction: The MLS Next Pro clash on September 4, 2026 at 22:30 UTC sees Carolina Core FC as a narrow favorite, with a 40% win probability. The visitors, New England Revolution II, have a 30% chance, while the draw is also rated at 30%.

Team Form

Carolina Core FC enter the match in poor form, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a heavy 5-2 defeat at Chattanooga FC. Before that, they lost 3-1 at home to FC Cincinnati II, beat Huntsville City 2-0, drew 3-3 at Atlanta United II, and were thrashed 5-1 by Chicago Fire II. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 16 goals in those five games.

New England Revolution II have a slightly better recent record – two wins and three losses. After a 2-1 away loss to NYC New York City II, they fell 4-2 at Inter Miami II and lost a 4-3 thriller at home to Philadelphia Union II. However, they bounced back with a 2-1 win at Connecticut United and a 4-1 victory at New York Red Bulls II. Their attack has scored 12 goals in the last five, but defensively they have also shipped 12.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, with Carolina Core FC winning 1-0 at home on August 2, 2025. That narrow victory gives the hosts a psychological edge and a 100% record in this fixture.

League Table Positions

New England Revolution II are 10th in the MLS Next Pro overall standings with 42 points from 24 matches (14 wins, 10 losses). Carolina Core FC are not among the top 12 teams, indicating a lower league position. The visitors therefore hold a higher ranking, suggesting a competitive match-up.

Win Probability: Carolina Core FC or New England Revolution II?

Based on all available data – no odds have been released yet – we estimate the win probabilities using team form, head-to-head record, home advantage, and league positions. Carolina Core FC have a 40% chance of winning the match. The draw stands at 30%, and New England Revolution II have a 30% chance. The home side’s slight edge comes from their H2H win and the typical benefit of playing at home, despite inferior recent form and a lower league standing.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet published odds for this fixture. Once available, Carolina Core FC are expected to be a marginal favorite. Our match prediction, based on the statistical analysis, is a narrow home win. The most likely outcome is a low-scoring affair, mirroring the only previous meeting between the teams.