Columbus Crew II - New England Revolution II prediction 17 October 2026

The New England Revolution II vs Columbus Crew II prediction for July 15, 2026, sees the home side as the favorite with a 45% win probability. This MLS Next Pro clash at 23:00 local time pits two top-half teams against each other, with Columbus Crew II looking to continue their strong form.

Team Form

New England Revolution II have been inconsistent lately, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, W, W). Their most recent outing was a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Philadelphia Union II on July 5. However, they did secure a 3-1 away win at Toronto II and a 2-1 home victory over New York Red Bulls II in June. Overall, New England II have scored 21 goals and conceded 18 in 16 league games, averaging 1.31 goals scored per match.

Columbus Crew II, on the other hand, are flying high with four wins and one draw in their last five (D, W, W, W, W). They drew 2-2 at Orlando City II on June 28, then beat Atlanta United II 3-2 at home, and also won away at FC Cincinnati II (1-0) and NYC New York City II (3-2). Their only dropped points came against Orlando. Columbus Crew II have netted 31 times in 17 matches, averaging 1.82 goals per game, but have conceded 27.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Columbus Crew II. In 10 previous meetings, Columbus Crew II have won 6, New England Revolution II have won 2, and 2 ended in draws. The most recent encounter on April 18, 2026, saw Columbus Crew II win 2-1 at home. Last season, they drew 2-2 in New England and Columbus Crew II lost 1-2 at home, showing the rivalry can be tight.

• Apr 18, 2026: Columbus Crew II 2-1 New England Revolution II
• Aug 11, 2025: New England Revolution II 2-2 Columbus Crew II
• Jul 05, 2025: Columbus Crew II 1-2 New England Revolution II
• Apr 23, 2025: New England Revolution II 2-2 Columbus Crew II
• Oct 14, 2023: New England Revolution II 0-1 Columbus Crew II

League Table Positions

In the MLS Next Pro overall standings, Columbus Crew II sit 4th with 36 points from 17 games (12 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses), while New England Revolution II are 8th with 33 points from 16 games (11 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses). At home, New England II are strong: 5th in the home table with 21 points from 10 games (7 wins, 3 losses). Columbus Crew II’s away form ranks 5th, with 15 points from 9 away games (5 wins, 4 losses). Both teams have identical win-loss records, but Columbus Crew II have scored more goals (31 vs 21) and conceded more (27 vs 18).

Win Probability: New England Revolution II or Columbus Crew II?

Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head stats, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: New England Revolution II have a 45% chance of winning, a draw is at 27%, and Columbus Crew II have a 28% chance. The bookmakers’ odds imply a home win probability of around 49% after removing the margin, but we have adjusted slightly downward due to Columbus Crew II’s superior recent form and dominant H2H record. Despite playing at home, New England Revolution II face a tough challenge from an in-form opponent. The draw probability is also significant, reflecting the two draws in their last four meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced New England Revolution II as the favorite with average odds of 1.71 for a home win. The draw is available at around 2.80, and an away win for Columbus Crew II at 3.91. These odds reflect the market’s expectation of a tight contest. Our prediction: New England Revolution II are the most likely winners, but Columbus Crew II’s form and H2H edge make them a dangerous underdog. A draw is also a plausible outcome given the history of stalemates between these sides. Based on the stats, the safest bet might be on the home team to win, but with caution.