San Antonio FC - New Mexico United prediction 18 October 2026
San Antonio FC
New Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FC
Orange County Blue StarSan Antonio FCNew Mexico UnitedOakland RootsSan Antonio FCLas Vegas LightsSan Antonio FCSan Antonio FCSV Darmstadt 98San Antonio FCTampa Bay RowdiesSacramento RepublicSan Antonio FCColorado Springs SwitchbacksSan Antonio FCSan Antonio FCLouisville CardinalsSan Antonio FCTulsa RoughnecksNew Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FCSan Antonio FCOakland RootsSan Antonio FCEl Paso LocomotiveSan Antonio FCMiami FCLouisville CardinalsSan Antonio FCEl Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FCNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedMonterey BayNew Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingTulsa RoughnecksNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedSacramento RepublicColorado Springs SwitchbacksNew Mexico UnitedBirmingham LegionNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedIndy ElevenLas Vegas LightsNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FCNew Mexico UnitedLexington SCLoudoun UnitedNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedTulsa RoughnecksMonterey BayNew Mexico United- 8'EventM. Maldonado
- 29'EventCurt Calov
San Antonio FCNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FCSan Antonio FCNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FCSan Antonio FCNew Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FCNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedSan Antonio FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52:26 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 |  Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 |
| 5 |  Detroit City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34:21 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 |  El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 |
| 7 |  Lexington SC | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 |
| 8 |  Louisville Cardinals | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:43 | +8 | 47 |
| 9 |  Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:30 | +3 | 45 |
| 11 | San Antonio FC | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 |
| 12 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | +2 | 43 |
| 13 |  Tulsa Roughnecks | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 |
| 14 |  Rhode Island FC | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | +9 | 42 |
| 15 |  Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 |
| 16 |  Orange County Blue Star | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 |  Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 18 |  Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | -10 | 36 |
| 19 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 |
| 20 |  Indy Eleven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 34 |
| 21 |  Loudoun United | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 31 |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40:46 | -6 | 30 |
| 23 |  Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 |
| 24 |  Brooklyn FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34:63 | -29 | 21 |
| 25 |  Sporting Jax | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32:78 | -46 | 14 |
New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC Prediction (Aug 30)
The New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC prediction for August 30, 2026, points to a home victory in this USL Championship clash. Kick-off is at 01:30, and based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, New Mexico United enters the match as the clear favorite with a 45% win probability.
Team Form
New Mexico United is in excellent shape, winning four and drawing one of their last five matches. The most recent results include a 2-1 home win over Lexington SC, a 0-0 draw at Loudoun United, and three consecutive victories against Tulsa Roughnecks (1-0), Monterey Bay (5-2 away), and Colorado Springs Switchbacks (1-0). At home, they have been particularly strong, with a 7-2-1 record this season.
San Antonio FCโs form is more mixed. Their last five outings show two losses (0-1 vs Oakland Roots, 0-3 vs El Paso Locomotive), a USL Cup win over Miami FC (2-1), a 1-1 draw at Louisville, and a 3-1 home win against Indy Eleven. Away from home, they have managed three wins, five draws, and two defeats in the league.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors New Mexico United. In the last five meetings across all competitions, New Mexico United has won three, San Antonio FC one, with one draw. The most recent encounter, on March 22, 2026, saw San Antonio FC win 1-0 at home. However, when playing at New Mexico Unitedโs ground, the hosts have won the last two matches: 2-0 in November 2025 and 4-2 in June 2025.
League Table Positions
New Mexico United sits 2nd in the overall USL Championship standings with 37 points from 19 matches (11 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). San Antonio FC is 9th with 32 points from 21 matches (8 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses). The home sideโs record at their own stadium is even more impressive โ ranked 2nd in the home table with 23 points from 10 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). San Antonioโs away form places them 7th in the away standings, with 14 points from 10 trips (3 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses).
Win Probability: New Mexico United or San Antonio FC?
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are: New Mexico United 45%, draw 30%, San Antonio FC 25%. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 2.05, draw 2.25, away 3.60) and adjusted for the home teamโs superior recent form, dominant head-to-head record at this venue, and higher league position. New Mexico Unitedโs strong home performances make them the most likely winner, but San Antonioโs resilience on the road โ with five draws in ten away games โ keeps the draw probability relatively high.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds for the New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC prediction market show the home win priced around 2.05, the draw at 2.25, and an away win at 3.60. These numbers confirm that the betting market sees New Mexico United as the favorite. Taking into account the stats, the most probable outcome is a home victory. A draw cannot be ruled out given San Antonioโs ability to grind out results away from home, but the value lies with the hosts. Our final prediction: New Mexico United to win.
New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC โ FAQ
- Who will win New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC?
- New Mexico United is the most likely winner with a 45% chance. The draw has a 30% probability, while San Antonio FC has a 25% chance of winning. This is based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head stats.
- What is the win probability for New Mexico United?
- New Mexico United has a 45% win probability. This reflects their strong home record (7 wins in 10 games), excellent recent form (4 wins and a draw in the last 5), and a 3-1-1 head-to-head advantage in the last five meetings.
- When is the New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC match?
- The match is scheduled for August 30, 2026, at 01:30. It is a USL Championship fixture, the second tier of professional soccer in the USA.
- What are the odds for New Mexico United vs San Antonio FC?
- The average bookmaker odds are 2.05 for a New Mexico United win, 2.25 for a draw, and 3.60 for a San Antonio FC victory. These odds imply a home win probability of around 40% before adjustments.
- What is the recent form of both teams?
- New Mexico Unitedโs last five results: W, D, W, W, W. San Antonio FCโs last five: L, L, W, D, W. The home side has been more consistent, especially at their own stadium.