NYC New York City II - New York Red Bulls II prediction 8 September 2026

The NYC New York City II vs New York Red Bulls II prediction for this MLS Next Pro clash on Sep 08 at 21:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the stats, New York Red Bulls II enter as slight favorites with a 38% win probability, while NYC New York City II have a 35% chance and the draw is at 27%.

Team Form

NYC New York City II's recent form is inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches (W, W, L, L, L). They suffered a 4-2 defeat at Inter Miami II on Sep 01 and a 2-0 loss at Toronto II on Aug 28, but previously secured home victories against New England Revolution II (2-1) and FC Cincinnati II (5-0).

New York Red Bulls II are in stronger form with four wins and one loss in their last five (W, W, W, W, L). They beat Connecticut United 4-2 away on Aug 29 and Toronto II 5-1 at home on Aug 23. Their only recent setback was a 4-1 home loss to New England Revolution II on Aug 02.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record across 8 meetings shows NYC New York City II with 4 wins, New York Red Bulls II with 3 wins, and 1 draw. The most recent encounter on May 17 saw NYC New York City II win 3-2 away. Earlier this season, on Mar 15, they drew 1-1 at home. High-scoring affairs are common, with both teams scoring in 7 of the 8 matches.

League Table Positions

New York Red Bulls II sit 9th in the overall MLS Next Pro standings with 42 points from 25 matches (14 wins, 11 losses). NYC New York City II are not in the top 12 overall but rank 8th in the home table with 27 points from 12 home games (9 wins, 3 losses), showing a strong home advantage. New York Red Bulls II rank 7th in the away table with 21 points from 13 away matches (7 wins, 6 losses).

Win Probability: NYC New York City II or New York Red Bulls II?

NYC New York City II has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 27%, and New York Red Bulls II has a 38% chance. These probabilities are derived from the average bookmaker odds (inverse normalized), adjusted for New York Red Bulls II's superior recent form (4 wins in 5 vs 2 wins in 5) and NYC New York City II's strong home record (9 wins in 12). The head-to-head is nearly even, but the away side's momentum gives them a marginal edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open contest. The best available odds are: NYC New York City II win at 2.85, draw at 3.70, and New York Red Bulls II win at 2.05. The implied probabilities from the sharpest odds suggest a slight away lean. Based on the stats, New York Red Bulls II are the more likely winner, but a draw is a real possibility given the H2H history. A bet on both teams to score could also hold value, considering 7 of the last 8 H2H meetings saw goals at both ends.