Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves - Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction 30 September 2026

Our Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves vs Newells Old Boys Reserves prediction for September 30, 2026, in the Liga Profesional Reserves points to an away-side advantage. Bookmakers and our analysis give Newells Old Boys Reserves a 45% chance of winning, while Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves sits at 20%, and the draw at 35%.

Team Form

Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves have alternated results in their last five league matches, recording L-W-L-L-W. They fell 0-1 at home to Atletico Tucuman Reserves on Sep 22, before that won 3-2 away against Defensa y Justicia Reserves, lost 1-2 at home to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve, were heavily beaten 1-5 at CA Huracan Reserves, and secured a 2-1 home victory over Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves on Aug 27. This uneven spell suggests they struggle for consistency in front of their own fans.

Newells Old Boys Reserves come into the game with a recent record of W-W-L-L-L. They recorded back-to-back home wins (3-0 vs Rosario Central Reserves and 4-0 vs San Martin de San Juan Reserves) before three consecutive defeats: 0-1 at Independiente Rivadavia Reserves, 0-2 at home against Deportivo Riestra Reserves, and 0-2 away to CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve. While the two wins were commanding, the away form has been a concern – they have lost their last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head stat is heavily in Newells’ favor. The teams have met twice previously in this competition, with Newells Old Boys Reserves winning both encounters. The most recent, on Apr 28, 2026, ended 1-0 to Newells at their ground, and the earlier outing on Aug 6, 2025, finished 2-1. Central Cordoba has yet to register a win or even a draw in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga Profesional Reserves standings, Newells Old Boys Reserves occupies 7th place with 34 points from 19 matches (10 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves does not appear in the top 12, indicating a lower position. The away team’s higher ranking underscores their superiority in the division, while the home side faces an uphill task against a top-half opponent.

Win Probability: Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves or Newells Old Boys Reserves?

We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, H2H, and league positions. The initial odds-implied chances (averaged across four bookmakers) were around 24% for a home win, 38% for the draw, and 38% for an away win. Adjusting for Newells’ perfect H2H record (2-0), their considerably higher league standing, and Central’s inconsistent home record, we shift the probabilities to: Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves win – 20%, Draw – 35%, Newells Old Boys Reserves win – 45%. These numbers sum to 100% and reflect who is more likely to take the three points. Away advantage is clear but not overwhelming; the draw remains a serious possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for the 1X2 market. For a home win you can find prices between 3.25 and 4.00, the draw is condensed around 2.15 to 3.30, and an away win sits between 2.00 and 2.55. The shortest away price of 2.00 shows that beting sites view Newells Old Boys Reserves as the favourite. Given the data, our match prediction sides with the away team – based on stats, Newells Old Boys Reserves is the more probable winner, but with a draw still carrying a 35% chance, cautious bettors might consider the Double Chance option.