Newells Old Boys Reserves - Estudiantes La Plata Reserves prediction 6 October 2026

The Newells Old Boys Reserves vs Estudiantes La Plata Reserves prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves clash on October 6, 2026, at 19:00, points to a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head stats, Newells have a 40% win probability, while the draw and an away win both sit at 30%.

Team Form

Newells Old Boys Reserves come into this match with mixed results: a draw, two wins, and two losses in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 away at Central Cordoba Reserves on September 30, then secured impressive home victories over Rosario Central Reserves (3-0) and San Martin de San Juan Reserves (4-0). However, they lost 1-0 at Independiente Rivadavia Reserves and 2-0 at home to Deportivo Riestra Reserves. Their home form shows they can be dominant but also vulnerable.

Estudiantes La Plata Reserves have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. They beat Defensa y Justicia Reserves 2-0 at home on September 29, but then suffered back-to-back away losses: 2-0 at Gimnasia La Plata Reserves and 1-0 at Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve. They bounced back with a 3-1 home win over CA Huracan Reserves and a 1-0 away win at Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves. Their away form is inconsistent, with two losses in the last three road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

These reserve sides have met three times in recent seasons, with Newells Old Boys Reserves winning twice and Estudiantes La Plata Reserves once. There have been no draws. The most recent encounter on May 7, 2026, saw Newells claim a 2-0 away victory. Before that, Newells won 2-0 at home on September 16, 2025. Estudiantes’ only win came on April 15, 2025, a 3-0 home success. The head-to-head trend favors the home team, with Newells winning the last two meetings.

Win Probability: Newells Old Boys Reserves or Estudiantes La Plata Reserves?

After analyzing the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Newells Old Boys Reserves have a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Estudiantes La Plata Reserves have a 30% chance. The bookmakers’ odds implied a close match, with the draw initially priced as the most likely outcome by one bookmaker. However, the lack of draws in the head-to-head history and Newells’ home advantage adjust the probabilities slightly in favor of the home side. Newells are the more probable winners, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One bookmaker lists a home win at 2.75, a draw at 2.00, and an away win at 3.40. Another prices Newells at 2.35, the draw at 3.00, and Estudiantes at 2.80. The odds reflect the competitive nature of the game, with the draw being a strong possibility according to the first set. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a Newells Old Boys Reserves victory, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. The betting tips suggest backing the home side with caution, given the inconsistent form of both teams.