Newells Old Boys Reserves - Rosario Central Reserves prediction 24 September 2026

Newells Old Boys Reserves vs Rosario Central Reserves prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves clash on September 24, 2026, at 19:00. Based on team form and head-to-head stats, the draw is the likeliest outcome with a 42% probability, while the hosts hold a 36% chance of winning.

Team Form

Newells Old Boys Reserves come into the match after a morale-boosting 4-0 home win over San Martin de San Juan Reserves on Sep 17. That ended a run of four straight defeats, where they lost to Independiente Rivadavia Reserves (0-1), Deportivo Riestra Reserves (0-2), CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve (0-2), and CA Lanus Reserves (1-2). Their recent home form shows just one win in the last five, with three losses at this venue.

Rosario Central Reserves have been more consistent on the road. In their last five matches they’ve recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat. Away from home, they beat Atletico Tucuman Reserves 1-0 and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Reserves 2-1, drew with CA Talleres de Cordoba Reserves 2-2, and suffered a heavy 0-3 loss at Godoy Cruz Reserves. Overall, they’ve avoided defeat in 4 of their last 5 competitive outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The two reserve sides have met twice previously in the Liga Profesional Reserves, both times with Rosario Central Reserves playing host. In the most recent encounter on April 21, 2026, they played out a 3-3 draw. Before that, on September 5, 2025, Rosario Central Reserves secured a 3-0 victory. So far, Newells Old Boys Reserves have yet to beat Rosario Central Reserves, but this will be their first home fixture in the head-to-head series.

Win Probability: Newells Old Boys Reserves or Rosario Central Reserves?

Using the available odds and recent performance data, we calculate the probabilities as follows:

• Newells Old Boys Reserves win: 36%
• Draw: 42%
• Rosario Central Reserves win: 22%

The draw is the most probable result, reflecting the bookmakers’ low odds for a stalemate (as short as 2.05) and the fact both teams have drawn multiple matches lately. Newells Old Boys Reserves’ home victory last time out improves their chances slightly, but Rosario Central Reserves’ solid away record keeps them in contention. The visitors’ inconsistent finishing, combined with Newells’ defensive frailties, makes a score draw the most likely scenario.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this encounter tightly. One set of odds quotes Newells Old Boys Reserves at 2.35, the draw at 2.05, and Rosario Central Reserves at 3.50. Other bookmakers show similar patterns, with the draw consistently the shortest price. This indicates a very open match where the favourites’ edge is marginal.

Our prediction: Based on the stats, we expect a draw. The most probable exact scoreline could be 1-1 or 2-2, given the defensive records and recent H2H trend. While Newells Old Boys Reserves will be lifted by their last result, Rosario Central Reserves have proven hard to beat on the road. A draw is the safest call from a betting tips perspective.