Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Newells Old Boys prediction 12 October 2026

Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs Newells Old Boys prediction for the Primera Division match on Oct 12 at 22:30 at Estadio Víctor Legrotaglie. Newells Old Boys are the favorite with a 43% win probability, while the home side has a 31% chance and the draw is at 26%.

Team Form

Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza have struggled recently, with a form line of L, D, L, D, W. In their last match on Oct 5 they lost 3–0 away to Estudiantes La Plata. Before that they drew 0–0 at home with Deportivo Riestra and lost 2–0 away to Defensa y Justicia. Their only win in the last five came on Aug 30, a 3–0 away victory over CA Independiente.

Newells Old Boys are unbeaten in their last five, with a form line of D, W, D, D, D. They drew 0–0 at home with Lanus on Oct 3, won 1–0 away at CA Platense Buenos Aires on Sep 20, and drew 1–1 with Velez Sarsfield, Rosario Central, and Estudiantes La Plata. The away team is hard to beat but draws have been common.

Head-to-Head Record

Newells Old Boys have won both previous meetings. On Mar 21, 2026, Newells Old Boys beat Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 1–0 in the Primera Division. The earlier Cup meeting on Apr 13, 2019 also ended 1–0 to Newells Old Boys. The head-to-head record shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 2 away wins.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall standings. The league is led by Independiente Rivadavia with 34 points, followed by Estudiantes La Plata with 31 and Boca Juniors with 30. Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and Newells Old Boys are both outside the leading group, which makes this a meeting of two sides looking to climb the table.

Win Probability: Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza or Newells Old Boys?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and home/away factor, Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has a 31% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Newells Old Boys has a 43% chance. The away side's stronger recent form and perfect H2H record outweigh the home advantage. Newells Old Boys are the more likely winner, but the high number of draws in their recent matches keeps the draw probability significant.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza as the nominal home favorite in some markets, with home odds ranging from 2.20 to 2.35. However, the draw odds are unusually low at 1.92–1.95 in several books, and away odds for Newells Old Boys range from 3.50 to 4.33. The odds are inconsistent, but the form and H2H data point to Newells Old Boys as the value side. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win for Newells Old Boys, with a draw as the second most probable result.