Newroz SC - Al Mosul prediction 9 September 2026
Newroz SC
Al MosulNewroz SC
Diyala FCNewroz SCAl MinaaZakhoNewroz SCGhaz Al ShamalNewroz SCAl JulanNewroz SCNewroz SCAl MosulAl Nafit MaysanNewroz SCNewroz SCDuhokAl TalabaNewroz SCAl Gharraf FCNewroz SCNewroz SCAl Quwa Al JawiyaAl NaftNewroz SCNewroz SCAl MosulNewroz SCZakhoErbil SCNewroz SCAl KarkhAl MosulErbil SCAl MosulAl MosulAl Quwa Al JawiyaAl MosulAl NaftNewroz SCAl MosulAl MosulAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadAl MosulAl MosulKarbalaaAl MosulDiyala FCAl KarmaAl MosulAl MosulAl Qasim SCNewroz SCAl MosulAl MinaaAl MosulAl MosulDuhokAl MosulAl Talaba- 12'EventMohammad Ridha
- 28'EventNeto Acarรก
Newroz SCAl MosulNewroz SCAl MosulAl MosulNewroz SC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Al Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta Bagdad | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Erbil SC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawraa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Julan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Diyala FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Al Gharraf FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Al Nafit Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbalaa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
Newroz SC vs Al Mosul Prediction (Sep 09)
The Newroz SC vs Al Mosul prediction for this Stars League clash on Sep 09 at 18:00 points towards a tight contest. Based on the latest stats and odds, Al Mosul enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Newroz SC holds a 33% chance and the draw sits at 25%.
Team Form
Newroz SC's recent form has been inconsistent, with results showing W, D, L, L, D in their last five matches. They are coming off a 2-0 away win against Al Nafit Maysan on Sep 04, but previously suffered back-to-back 1-0 defeats to Al Talaba and Al Gharraf FC. At home, they drew 0-0 with Duhok and played out a 3-3 thriller against Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
Al Mosul's form reads D, L, W, W, D. They drew 2-2 at home with Al Zawraa on Sep 03 and lost 2-0 away to Al Shorta Bagdad. However, they impressed with a 3-0 home win over Karbalaa and a 2-1 victory against Diyala FC, showing they can score goals consistently.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record favors Newroz SC, with 1 win and 1 draw from their two previous meetings. Al Mosul has yet to beat Newroz SC. The most recent encounter on May 27 ended in a 1-1 draw at Newroz SC, while Newroz SC won 2-0 away at Al Mosul on Feb 06.
League Table Positions
In the overall Stars League standings, Al Mosul sits 6th with 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Newroz SC is not in the top 12. However, Newroz SC appears 8th in the away standings with 3 points from 3 away games (1 win, 2 losses). Al Mosul's home form is strong, ranked 4th with 7 points from 3 home matches (2 wins, 1 draw), scoring 7 goals and conceding 3.
Win Probability: Newroz SC or Al Mosul?
After analyzing the available data, the win probability for this match is: Newroz SC 33%, draw 25%, and Al Mosul 42%. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.58, draw 2.05, away 3.60), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Al Mosul's superior league position, strong home form, and Newroz SC's inconsistent recent results. The head-to-head record gives Newroz SC a slight boost, but Al Mosul's current momentum makes them the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a closely matched game. The best odds available show a home win at 2.58, a draw at 2.05, and an away win at 3.60. The low draw odds suggest the market expects a tight, low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, Al Mosul has the edge, but Newroz SC's unbeaten H2H record cannot be ignored. Our prediction leans towards an Al Mosul win or a draw, with under 2.5 total goals looking likely given both teams' recent scorelines.
Newroz SC vs Al Mosul โ FAQ
- Who will win Newroz SC vs Al Mosul?
- Based on the analysis of form, league standings, and odds, Al Mosul has a 42% chance of winning, Newroz SC has a 33% chance, and the draw is at 25%. Al Mosul is the more likely winner, but the match is expected to be close.
- What is the win probability for Al Mosul?
- Al Mosul has a 42% win probability. This is calculated from the betting odds and adjusted for their 6th-place league position and strong home form, where they have taken 7 points from 3 games.
- When is the Newroz SC vs Al Mosul match?
- The match is on Sep 09 at 18:00. It is a Stars League fixture in Iraq.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 2.58 for a Newroz SC win, 2.05 for a draw, and 3.60 for an Al Mosul win. The low draw odds indicate a tight contest is expected.